StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

MSV Duisburg v TSV Havelse

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-01 15:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

40 Wettanbieter (12 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

MSV Duisburg (Heim)

Prognose 65.12%1.54faire Quote
EV -2.33%
Vorteil -1.55%
Kelly -4.65%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.87%65.36%65.08%68.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.331.431.421.5075.19%69.98%70.42%66.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

TSV Havelse (Auswärts)

Prognose 14.77%6.77faire Quote
EV +6.38%
Vorteil +0.886%
Kelly +1.03%
Wachstum +0.066%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
12.73%14.63%14.84%17.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.005.876.007.2020.00%17.05%16.67%13.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 20.11%4.97faire Quote
EV -1.26%
Vorteil -0.257%
Kelly -0.322%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.91

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.98%20.01%20.08%22.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.754.384.334.9126.67%22.83%23.09%20.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: MSV Duisburg (Heim): 65.12%; TSV Havelse (Auswärts): 14.77%; Unentschieden: 20.11%. Für TSV Havelse (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.77. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 7.20 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +6.38%.

Wettanbieterquoten (40 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -10.79%E -7.88%K -29.17%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV +6.38%E +0.886%K +1.03%G +0.066%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 14:59
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.01%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV +3.42%E +0.489%K +0.571%G +0.020%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 15:14
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.91I 14.47%NM 13.75%EV +2.09%E +0.303%K +0.354%G +0.007%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.35%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -0.270%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -0.270%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 15:04
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -10.14%E -7.35%K -26.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.96%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -11.52%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 14:19
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.73%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.45%EV -3.96%E -0.610%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-01 14:54
Suprabets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -10.14%E -7.35%K -26.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -5.44%E -0.850%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 14:38
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -6.92%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.49%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 14:34
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -6.92%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.49%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 14:44
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -6.89%E -4.81%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -7.66%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 14:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -8.40%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 14:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -1.46%E -0.298%K -0.375%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 14:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -7.49%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 14:34
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -7.54%E -5.31%K -17.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 14:34
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -8.19%E -5.81%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 15:19
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-01 14:29
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -8.84%E -6.31%K -22.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 14:09
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.34%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -19.56%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-01 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 63.44%EV -13.40%E -10.07%K -40.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.06%EV -11.35%E -1.89%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.50%EV -24.59%E -6.56%K -8.94%G +0.000%18.5%2026-03-01 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 14:09
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 14:09
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.23%E -4.33%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-01 14:09
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.05%EV -11.44%E -8.41%K -31.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -18.74%E -3.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -12.92%E -2.98%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-01 13:59
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV -21.69%E -4.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -14.53%E -3.42%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -2.33%E -1.55%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -22.43%E -4.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -15.54%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 14:44
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -11.44%E -8.41%K -31.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -26.13%E -5.23%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -24.59%E -6.56%K -8.94%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-01 14:08
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%1.6%2026-03-01 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%1.6%2026-03-01 15:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.32%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%1.6%2026-03-01 15:09