Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.57
assuming max odds 6.25
assuming max odds 4.94
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Wolfsburg (Local): 63.69%; SV Darmstadt 98 (Visit): 16.49%; Draw: 19.82%. For SV Darmstadt 98 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.04%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV +3.04%E +0.486%K +0.579%G +0.018% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 13:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.40%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 16.05%EV -0.751%E -0.125%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.55%EV -2.07%E -0.419%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.04%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -1.08%E -0.180%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -2.86%E -0.584%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -1.08%E -0.180%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -6.83%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -1.08%E -0.180%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -6.83%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.98%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16%EV -2.73%E -0.463%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.98%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16%EV -2.73%E -0.463%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 10:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 14:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 09:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 13:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.69%EV -7.01%E -4.80%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -6.03%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -7.82%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.16%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 16.52%EV -6.69%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 14:53 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 12:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.24%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 11:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 09:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-18 12:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.60%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.86%E -0.584%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.82%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 14:47 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.70%EV -7.01%E -4.80%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.51%EV -10.20%E -7.23%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 14:43 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.12%EV -13.45%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-18 12:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.88%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.25%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.88%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.25%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 12:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.04%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.04%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.00%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.96%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.04%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.85%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%EV -15.92%E -3.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.81%EV -15.75%E -3.71%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-18 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.64%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.20%EV -15.92%E -3.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -13.77%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -0.007%E -0.004%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.62%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.72% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.69% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.59% | 0.1% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.87% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.87% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.87% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65% | 1.8% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |