Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

VfL Wolfsburg v SV Darmstadt 98

2026-09-18 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Zwycięzca spotkania

41 bukmacherów (12 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

VfL Wolfsburg (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 59.90%1.67kurs godziwy
EV -5.36%
Przewaga -3.39%
Kelly -9.25%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.58

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.01%60.16%59.71%62.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.441.521.531.5869.44%65.60%65.36%63.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

SV Darmstadt 98 (Goście)

Prognoza 18.51%5.40kurs godziwy
EV +1.79%
Przewaga +0.326%
Kelly +0.398%
Wzrost +0.007%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.17%18.32%18.64%20.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.304.965.005.5023.26%20.16%20.00%18.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 21.60%4.63kurs godziwy
EV -0.662%
Przewaga -0.144%
Kelly -0.184%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.41%21.53%21.65%22.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.904.244.204.6025.64%23.58%23.81%21.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: VfL Wolfsburg (Gospodarze): 59.90%; SV Darmstadt 98 (Goście): 18.51%; Remis: 21.60%. Dla wyniku SV Darmstadt 98 (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.40. 2 bukmacherów oferuje kursy powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 5.50, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +1.79%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (41 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +1.79%E +0.326%K +0.398%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +1.79%E +0.326%K +0.398%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.07%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -0.059%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.07%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -0.059%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -8.96%E -5.89%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -2.84%E -0.540%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -2.84%E -0.540%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:20
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.05%EV -13.15%E -9.07%K -29.22%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.17%EV -3.02%E -0.576%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.99%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -0.662%E -0.144%K -0.184%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.36%E -3.39%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -13.75%E -9.55%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10%EV -10.38%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 14:18
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10%EV -10.38%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -9.56%E -6.33%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -9.56%E -6.33%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.58%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.58%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.31%EV -10.75%E -7.22%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.60%EV -12.09%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -13.01%E -2.77%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 59.68%EV -12.55%E -8.60%K -27.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -13.01%E -2.77%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-12 16:34
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.78%EV -10.75%E -7.22%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -14.70%E -3.72%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-12 14:19
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.44%EV -13.75%E -9.55%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.61%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.95%EV -15.78%E -4.05%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.87%EV -18.57%E -4.22%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.01%EV -10.75%E -7.22%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.10%EV -20.42%E -4.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.88%EV -14.70%E -3.72%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 57.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.66%16.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.78%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.61%186.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.78%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.61%186.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-12 14:20