StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

VfL Wolfsburg v SV Darmstadt 98

2026-09-18 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Direkter Vergleich

41 Wettanbieter (12 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

VfL Wolfsburg (Heim)

Prognose 59.90%1.67faire Quote
EV -5.36%
Vorteil -3.39%
Kelly -9.25%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.58

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.01%60.16%59.71%62.07%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.441.521.531.5869.44%65.60%65.36%63.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

SV Darmstadt 98 (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.51%5.40faire Quote
EV +1.79%
Vorteil +0.326%
Kelly +0.398%
Wachstum +0.007%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.17%18.32%18.64%20.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.304.965.005.5023.26%20.16%20.00%18.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 21.60%4.63faire Quote
EV -0.662%
Vorteil -0.144%
Kelly -0.184%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.41%21.53%21.65%22.23%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.904.244.204.6025.64%23.58%23.81%21.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: VfL Wolfsburg (Heim): 59.90%; SV Darmstadt 98 (Auswärts): 18.51%; Unentschieden: 21.60%. Für SV Darmstadt 98 (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.40. 2 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 5.50 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.79%.

Wettanbieterquoten (41 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +1.79%E +0.326%K +0.398%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +1.79%E +0.326%K +0.398%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.07%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -0.059%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.07%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -0.059%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -8.96%E -5.89%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -2.84%E -0.540%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -2.84%E -0.540%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:20
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.05%EV -13.15%E -9.07%K -29.22%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.17%EV -3.02%E -0.576%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.99%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -0.662%E -0.144%K -0.184%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.36%E -3.39%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -13.75%E -9.55%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10%EV -10.38%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 14:18
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10%EV -10.38%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -9.56%E -6.33%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -9.56%E -6.33%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.58%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.58%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.31%EV -10.75%E -7.22%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.60%EV -12.09%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -13.01%E -2.77%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 59.68%EV -12.55%E -8.60%K -27.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -13.01%E -2.77%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-12 16:34
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.78%EV -10.75%E -7.22%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -14.70%E -3.72%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-12 14:19
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.44%EV -13.75%E -9.55%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.61%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.95%EV -15.78%E -4.05%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.87%EV -18.57%E -4.22%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.01%EV -10.75%E -7.22%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.10%EV -20.42%E -4.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.88%EV -14.70%E -3.72%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 57.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.66%16.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.78%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.61%186.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.78%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.61%186.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-12 14:20