Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfL Wolfsburg v SV Darmstadt 98

2026-09-18 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfL Wolfsburg (Local)

Prévision 59.90%1.67cote équitable
EV -5.36%
Avantage -3.39%
Kelly -9.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.01%60.16%59.71%62.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.521.531.5869.44%65.60%65.36%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.51%5.40cote équitable
EV +1.79%
Avantage +0.326%
Kelly +0.398%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.17%18.32%18.64%20.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.304.965.005.5023.26%20.16%20.00%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.60%4.63cote équitable
EV -0.662%
Avantage -0.144%
Kelly -0.184%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.41%21.53%21.65%22.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.244.204.6025.64%23.58%23.81%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : VfL Wolfsburg (Local) : 59.90% ; SV Darmstadt 98 (Visiteur) : 18.51% ; Match nul : 21.60%. Pour SV Darmstadt 98 (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.40. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.50, pour une espérance positive de +1.79%.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +1.79%E +0.326%K +0.398%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +1.79%E +0.326%K +0.398%G +0.007%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.07%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -0.059%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.07%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -0.059%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -8.96%E -5.89%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -2.84%E -0.540%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -2.84%E -0.540%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.22%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:20
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.05%EV -13.15%E -9.07%K -29.22%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.17%EV -3.02%E -0.576%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.99%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -6.56%E -4.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.76%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -0.662%E -0.144%K -0.184%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.36%E -3.39%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.82%E -0.627%K -0.806%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -13.75%E -9.55%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -7.46%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -5.96%E -3.80%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10%EV -10.38%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 14:18
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.10%EV -10.38%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -9.56%E -6.33%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -9.56%E -6.33%K -18.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -9.31%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.58%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.58%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -11.16%E -2.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.31%EV -10.75%E -7.22%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.60%EV -12.09%E -2.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -7.16%E -4.62%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -13.01%E -2.77%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 59.68%EV -12.55%E -8.60%K -27.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -13.01%E -2.77%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-12 16:34
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.36%E -5.46%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.30%E -2.21%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.78%EV -10.75%E -7.22%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.17%EV -14.70%E -3.72%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-12 14:19
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.44%EV -13.75%E -9.55%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.61%EV -14.87%E -3.23%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.95%EV -15.78%E -4.05%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -10.15%E -6.77%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.87%EV -18.57%E -4.22%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -13.62%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.01%EV -10.75%E -7.22%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.10%EV -20.42%E -4.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.88%EV -14.70%E -3.72%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-12 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 57.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.66%16.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.78%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.61%186.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.78%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.61%186.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-12 14:20