L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

VfL Wolfsburg v SV Darmstadt 98

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-18 16:30 UTC

Score final : VfL Wolfsburg 5–1 SV Darmstadt 98

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfL Wolfsburg (Local)

Prévision 63.69%1.57cote équitable
EV -0.007%
Avantage -0.004%
Kelly -0.012%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.85%63.68%63.68%65.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.461.5771.43%68.40%68.73%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.49%6.07cote équitable
EV +3.04%
Avantage +0.486%
Kelly +0.579%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.23%16.47%16.45%18.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.515.506.2520.00%18.15%18.18%16.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.82%5.04cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -0.419%
Kelly -0.526%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.08%19.85%19.87%21.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.254.554.504.9423.53%22.00%22.22%20.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : VfL Wolfsburg (Local) : 63.69% ; SV Darmstadt 98 (Visiteur) : 16.49% ; Match nul : 19.82%. Pour SV Darmstadt 98 (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.07. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.25, soit une espérance positive de +3.04%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV +3.04%E +0.486%K +0.579%G +0.018%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 13:05
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.40%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 16.05%EV -0.751%E -0.125%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.55%EV -2.07%E -0.419%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.04%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -1.08%E -0.180%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -2.86%E -0.584%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 12:45
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -1.08%E -0.180%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -6.83%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:24
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -1.08%E -0.180%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -6.83%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.98%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16%EV -2.73%E -0.463%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 12:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.98%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16%EV -2.73%E -0.463%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 10:34
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:44
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 09:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 13:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.69%EV -7.01%E -4.80%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -6.03%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -7.82%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:24
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.16%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.52%EV -6.69%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:53
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 14:45
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:39
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:40
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:40
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:40
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.24%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 11:40
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 09:40
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 14:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 14:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 14:15
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 12:09
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.60%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.86%E -0.584%K -0.734%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Suprabets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.82%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 14:47
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.70%EV -7.01%E -4.80%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.51%EV -10.20%E -7.23%K -24.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 14:43
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.12%EV -13.45%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 12:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.88%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.25%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.88%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.25%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 12:39
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.04%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.04%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.00%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.96%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.04%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.85%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%EV -15.92%E -3.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.81%EV -15.75%E -3.71%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.64%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.20%EV -15.92%E -3.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -13.77%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -0.007%E -0.004%K -0.012%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 16:30
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:50
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.62%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 14:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.72%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.69%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.59%0.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-18 13:40