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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

VfL Wolfsburg v SV Darmstadt 98

Início: 2026-09-18 16:30 UTC

Final: VfL Wolfsburg 5–1 SV Darmstadt 98

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

VfL Wolfsburg (Local)

Previsão 63.69%1.57odd justa
EV -0.007%
Vantagem -0.004%
Kelly -0.012%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.85%63.68%63.68%65.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.461.461.5771.43%68.40%68.73%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visitante)

Previsão 16.49%6.07odd justa
EV +3.04%
Vantagem +0.486%
Kelly +0.579%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.23%16.47%16.45%18.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.515.506.2520.00%18.15%18.18%16.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.82%5.04odd justa
EV -2.07%
Vantagem -0.419%
Kelly -0.526%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.08%19.85%19.87%21.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.254.554.504.9423.53%22.00%22.22%20.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: VfL Wolfsburg (Local): 63.69%; SV Darmstadt 98 (Visitante): 16.49%; Empate: 19.82%. Para SV Darmstadt 98 (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.07. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.04%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV +3.04%E +0.486%K +0.579%G +0.018%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 13:05
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.40%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 16.05%EV -0.751%E -0.125%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.55%EV -2.07%E -0.419%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.04%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -1.08%E -0.180%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -2.86%E -0.584%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 12:45
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -1.08%E -0.180%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -6.83%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:24
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.31%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -1.08%E -0.180%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -6.83%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.98%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16%EV -2.73%E -0.463%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 12:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.98%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.16%EV -2.73%E -0.463%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:25
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 10:34
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:44
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 09:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -5.20%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 13:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.69%EV -7.01%E -4.80%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV -6.03%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.00%EV -7.82%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:24
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.16%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.52%EV -6.69%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:53
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 14:45
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:39
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:40
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:40
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -7.68%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:40
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.24%EV -5.10%E -3.42%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 11:40
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 09:40
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 14:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 14:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 14:15
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 12:09
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -9.32%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.60%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -2.86%E -0.584%K -0.734%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Suprabets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.82%EV -6.38%E -4.34%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 14:47
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:40
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.70%EV -7.01%E -4.80%K -15.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.51%EV -10.20%E -7.23%K -24.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -10.97%E -2.03%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 14:43
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.12%EV -13.45%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 12:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.88%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.25%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.88%EV -7.65%E -5.28%K -17.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.25%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 12:39
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.04%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.04%EV -8.29%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -14.76%E -3.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.00%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.96%EV -14.27%E -2.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.04%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.85%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%EV -15.92%E -3.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.81%EV -15.75%E -3.71%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.64%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.20%EV -15.92%E -3.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -13.77%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -0.007%E -0.004%K -0.012%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -12.78%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 16:30
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:50
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.06%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.62%EV -8.92%E -6.24%K -20.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.57%E -3.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 14:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.72%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.69%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.59%0.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%0.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-18 13:40