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SV Darmstadt 98 v Arminia Bielefeld

2026-09-11 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Prediction 35.14%2.85fair odd
EV -0.898%
Edge -0.318%
Kelly -0.493%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.83%35.18%35.17%36.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.552.8241.67%39.03%39.22%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arminia Bielefeld (Visit)

Prediction 39.34%2.54fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.09%39.27%39.33%40.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.372.382.5046.51%42.22%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.52%3.92fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -0.798%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.89%25.55%25.50%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.563.603.8030.30%28.10%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SV Darmstadt 98 (Local): 35.14%; Arminia Bielefeld (Visit): 39.34%; Draw: 25.52%. For SV Darmstadt 98 (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.82, with an expected value of -0.898%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.83%EV -0.898%E -0.318%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.58%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Suprabets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.90%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.24%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.85%EV -8.65%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.12%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:04
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.31%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.03%E -0.798%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:05
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:04
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.69%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 00:25
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.96%E -3.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.96%E -3.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.63%EV -7.58%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.04%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:04
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 00:29
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 00:28
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:04
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:04
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.69%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.07%EV -9.68%E -3.77%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.17%EV -14.24%E -6.53%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -13.24%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-05 23:03
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.17%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.64%EV -13.24%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-06 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.06%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -15.42%E -7.17%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -13.24%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.69%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.69%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.69%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.69%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -13.45%E -6.12%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.69%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.50%EV -12.85%E -5.18%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -11.96%E -3.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-05 23:04
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.79%EV -13.90%E -5.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.09%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.96%E -3.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.79%EV -13.90%E -5.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.09%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.96%E -3.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -13.90%E -5.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -15.79%E -4.78%K -6.87%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.96%EV -13.90%E -5.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.84%EV -15.42%E -7.17%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.19%EV -13.24%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-05 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -15.66%E -6.52%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -13.24%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -15.66%E -6.52%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -13.24%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -15.66%E -6.52%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -13.24%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.69%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.69%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.69%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 34.34%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05