Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

SV Darmstadt 98 v Arminia Bielefeld

2026-09-11 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

SV Darmstadt 98 (Casa)

Previsione 35.14%2.85quota equa
EV -0.898%
Vantaggio -0.318%
Kelly -0.493%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.83%35.18%35.17%36.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.562.552.8241.67%39.03%39.22%35.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Arminia Bielefeld (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.34%2.54quota equa
EV -1.65%
Vantaggio -0.661%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.09%39.27%39.33%40.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.372.382.5046.51%42.22%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.52%3.92quota equa
EV -3.03%
Vantaggio -0.798%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.89%25.55%25.50%26.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.563.603.8030.30%28.09%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: SV Darmstadt 98 (Casa): 35.14%; Arminia Bielefeld (Trasferta): 39.34%; Pareggio: 25.52%. Per SV Darmstadt 98 (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.85. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 2.82, con un valore atteso del -0.898%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.83%EV -0.898%E -0.318%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.58%EV -4.82%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Suprabets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.90%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.24%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.85%EV -8.65%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.12%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:04
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.31%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.03%E -0.798%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:05
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:04
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -9.41%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 02:05
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.96%E -3.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.96%E -3.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.63%EV -7.58%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.04%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:04
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 02:08
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 02:08
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:04
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:04
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -8.63%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.69%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.07%EV -9.68%E -3.77%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.17%EV -14.24%E -6.53%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -13.24%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -1.65%E -0.661%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.58%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-05 23:03
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.17%EV -14.63%E -6.74%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.64%EV -13.24%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-06 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.06%EV -10.39%E -4.07%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -15.42%E -7.17%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -13.24%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.69%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.69%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.69%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -6.77%E -2.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.69%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -13.45%E -6.12%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.69%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.50%EV -12.85%E -5.18%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -11.96%E -3.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-05 23:04
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.79%EV -13.90%E -5.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.09%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.96%E -3.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.79%EV -13.90%E -5.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.09%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.96%E -3.47%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -13.90%E -5.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -15.79%E -4.78%K -6.87%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.96%EV -13.90%E -5.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.84%EV -15.42%E -7.17%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.19%EV -13.24%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-05 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -15.66%E -6.52%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -13.24%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -15.66%E -6.52%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -13.24%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%EV -15.66%E -6.52%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -13.24%E -3.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-05 23:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.69%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.69%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.69%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%5.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.34%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%6.3%2026-09-05 23:05