Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SV Darmstadt 98 v Arminia Bielefeld

Início: 2026-09-11 16:30 UTC

Final: SV Darmstadt 98 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Previsão 34.43%2.90odd justa
EV -3.60%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.45%34.56%34.40%36.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.652.702.8040.00%37.68%37.04%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arminia Bielefeld (Visitante)

Previsão 40.01%2.50odd justa
EV -1.97%
Vantagem -0.806%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.99%39.89%40.04%41.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.332.322.4546.51%42.95%43.10%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.56%3.91odd justa
EV -1.60%
Vantagem -0.414%
Kelly -0.560%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.72%25.54%25.56%26.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.573.553.8529.85%28.03%28.17%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: SV Darmstadt 98 (Local): 34.43%; Arminia Bielefeld (Visitante): 40.01%; Empate: 25.56%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.91. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.85, com valor esperado de -1.60%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.07%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.37%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.17%EV -3.13%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 17:10
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.57%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -1.60%E -0.414%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 01:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.82%EV -5.17%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 04:34
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 13:00
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 03:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -5.66%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -5.66%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.05%EV -5.66%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.04%EV -6.77%E -2.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 12:25
Suprabets🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.13%EV -6.70%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.39%EV -8.38%E -3.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.48%EV -7.22%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 00:34
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 01:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:04
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 01:30
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 16:35
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 19:40
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 19:39
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.98%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 19:40
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.98%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 01:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 01:33
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 17:13
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 04:14
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 13:10
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -7.18%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.82%E -3.43%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -7.18%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.82%E -3.43%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:03
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.06%EV -9.18%E -4.04%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 16:41
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.45%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.23%EV -13.98%E -6.50%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 16:35
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.79%E -3.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 16:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -9.79%E -3.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -9.98%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 01:34
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -1.97%E -0.806%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.97%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.87%E -0.756%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 20:55
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 09:44
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.98%E -5.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 01:30
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -6.77%E -2.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -6.77%E -2.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 09:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -9.98%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 02:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 09:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 09:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 09:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.17%EV -13.18%E -6.07%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.64%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -5.17%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -5.17%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -11.98%E -5.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-07 02:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-09-09 13:15
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.60%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%4.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 34.77%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%4.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 34.77%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%4.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 34.77%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%4.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 34.82%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.10%4.8%2026-09-09 16:21