Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SV Darmstadt 98 v Arminia Bielefeld

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-11 16:30 UTC

Score final : SV Darmstadt 98 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Prévision 34.43%2.90cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -2.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.45%34.56%34.40%36.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.652.702.8040.00%37.68%37.04%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Arminia Bielefeld (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.01%2.50cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -0.806%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.99%39.89%40.04%41.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.332.322.4546.51%42.95%43.10%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.56%3.91cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.414%
Kelly -0.560%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.72%25.54%25.56%26.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.573.553.8529.85%28.03%28.17%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SV Darmstadt 98 (Local) : 34.43% ; Arminia Bielefeld (Visiteur) : 40.01% ; Match nul : 25.56%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.91. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.85, pour une espérance de -1.60% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.07%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.37%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.17%EV -3.13%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 17:10
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.57%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -1.60%E -0.414%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 01:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.82%EV -5.17%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 04:34
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 13:00
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 03:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -5.66%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -5.66%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.05%EV -5.66%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.04%EV -6.77%E -2.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 12:25
Suprabets🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.13%EV -6.70%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.39%EV -8.38%E -3.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.48%EV -7.22%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 00:34
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 01:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:04
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 01:30
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 16:35
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 19:40
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 19:39
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.98%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 19:40
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.98%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 01:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 01:33
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 17:13
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 04:14
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 13:10
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -7.18%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.82%E -3.43%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -7.18%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.82%E -3.43%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:03
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.06%EV -9.18%E -4.04%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 16:41
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.45%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.23%EV -13.98%E -6.50%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 16:35
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.79%E -3.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 16:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -9.79%E -3.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -9.98%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 01:34
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -1.97%E -0.806%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.97%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.87%E -0.756%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 20:55
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 09:44
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.98%E -5.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 01:30
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -6.77%E -2.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -6.77%E -2.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 09:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -9.98%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 02:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 09:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 09:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 09:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.17%EV -13.18%E -6.07%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.64%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -5.17%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -5.17%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -11.98%E -5.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-07 02:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-09-09 13:15
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.60%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%4.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 34.77%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%4.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 34.77%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%4.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 34.77%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%4.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 34.82%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.10%4.8%2026-09-09 16:21