StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

SV Darmstadt 98 v Arminia Bielefeld

Matchstart: 2026-09-11 16:30 UTC

Slutresultat: SV Darmstadt 98 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

SV Darmstadt 98 (Hemma)

Prognos 34.43%2.90rättvist odds
EV -3.60%
Fördel -1.28%
Kelly -2.00%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.45%34.56%34.40%36.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.652.702.8040.00%37.68%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arminia Bielefeld (Borta)

Prognos 40.01%2.50rättvist odds
EV -1.97%
Fördel -0.806%
Kelly -1.36%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.99%39.89%40.04%41.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.332.322.4546.51%42.95%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.56%3.91rättvist odds
EV -1.60%
Fördel -0.414%
Kelly -0.560%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.72%25.54%25.56%26.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.353.573.553.8529.85%28.03%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: SV Darmstadt 98 (Hemma): 34.43%; Arminia Bielefeld (Borta): 40.01%; Oavgjort: 25.56%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.91. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.85, med väntevärdet -1.60%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.07%EV -3.60%E -1.28%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.37%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.17%EV -3.13%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 17:10
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.57%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -1.60%E -0.414%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 01:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.82%EV -5.17%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.71%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 04:34
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 13:00
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 03:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -5.66%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -5.66%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.83%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.05%EV -5.66%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.04%EV -6.77%E -2.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 12:25
Suprabets🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.13%EV -6.70%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.39%EV -8.38%E -3.66%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.48%EV -7.22%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 00:34
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -2.77%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 09:45
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.15%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 01:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:04
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 01:30
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 16:35
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 19:40
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 19:39
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.98%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 19:40
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -7.04%E -2.61%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.98%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 01:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 01:33
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 17:13
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 04:14
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 13:10
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -7.18%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.82%E -3.43%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -7.18%E -3.09%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -11.82%E -3.43%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-05 23:03
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.06%EV -9.18%E -4.04%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 16:41
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.45%EV -8.76%E -3.31%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.23%EV -13.98%E -6.50%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 16:35
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.79%E -3.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 16:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -9.79%E -3.74%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -9.98%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 01:34
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -1.97%E -0.806%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.43%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.97%E -1.66%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.87%E -0.756%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 20:55
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -5.97%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 09:44
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -10.48%E -4.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.98%E -5.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 01:30
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -6.77%E -2.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.48%EV -6.77%E -2.91%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 09:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -9.98%E -4.43%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -9.26%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 02:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 09:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 09:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -7.98%E -3.47%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -14.38%E -4.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 09:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -12.20%E -4.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.17%EV -13.18%E -6.07%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.64%EV -13.10%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-09 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -4.77%E -2.01%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -5.17%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -5.17%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.93%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -11.98%E -5.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.54%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-07 02:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-09-09 13:15
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.60%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%4.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 34.77%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%4.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 34.77%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%4.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 34.77%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%4.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 34.82%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.10%4.8%2026-09-09 16:21