Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.33
assuming max odds 3.10
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Greuther Fürth (Local): 42.86%; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit): 31.71%; Draw: 25.43%. For Greuther Fürth (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.333. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.330, with an expected value of -0.133%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -0.133%E -0.057%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -0.133%E -0.057%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.37%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.10%E -0.544%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 07:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.39%EV -5.28%E -2.39%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -2.02%E -0.653%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.76%EV -5.28%E -2.39%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -2.10%E -0.544%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 07:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 07:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 08:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 07:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -15.97%E -6.03%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -15.97%E -6.03%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.80%EV -6.13%E -2.80%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.45%EV -5.51%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.75%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.18%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.91%EV -8.20%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 10:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 07:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 07:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.33%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.43%EV -16.61%E -6.31%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -14.81%E -4.42%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.98%EV -6.99%E -3.22%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -5.82%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 07:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.91%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.61%E -6.31%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -21.17%E -6.83%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -10.85%E -5.22%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.02%EV -7.69%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 07:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -12.13%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -14.39%E -5.33%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-17 07:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -12.13%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -12.27%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-17 07:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.94%EV -13.42%E -6.64%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 42.01% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.99% | 0.0% | 2026-05-17 06:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54% | 1.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |