مدرسة الاحتمالات

Greuther Fürth v Fortuna Düsseldorf

البداية: 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Greuther Fürth 3–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Greuther Fürth (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.86%2.33السعر العادل
EV -0.133%
الأفضلية -0.057%
Kelly -0.100%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.25%42.75%42.84%43.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.022.192.202.3349.50%45.67%45.45%42.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fortuna Düsseldorf (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.71%3.15السعر العادل
EV -1.70%
الأفضلية -0.549%
Kelly -0.811%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.46%31.79%31.69%33.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.862.903.1038.02%35.00%34.48%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.43%3.93السعر العادل
EV -2.10%
الأفضلية -0.544%
Kelly -0.735%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.52%25.46%25.47%27.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.583.603.8532.26%27.94%27.78%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -0.133%E -0.057%K -0.100%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:25
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -0.133%E -0.057%K -0.100%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:25
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:25
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:25
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:25
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.37%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.10%E -0.544%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 07:39
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.39%EV -5.28%E -2.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -2.02%E -0.653%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 42.76%EV -5.28%E -2.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 07:40
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:39
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -2.10%E -0.544%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:35
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:35
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:38
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:21
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:35
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:40
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 07:40
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -15.97%E -6.03%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 07:25
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -15.97%E -6.03%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 07:25
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.80%EV -6.13%E -2.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.45%EV -5.51%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.75%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Suprabets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.18%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.91%EV -8.20%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:35
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:35
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:35
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.33%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.43%EV -16.61%E -6.31%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -14.81%E -4.42%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 07:25
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.98%EV -6.99%E -3.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -5.82%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:59
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.91%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:38
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:20
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:20
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.61%E -6.31%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -21.17%E -6.83%K -10.08%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-17 07:20
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -10.85%E -5.22%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.02%EV -7.69%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 07:34
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -12.13%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -14.39%E -5.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 07:35
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -12.13%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -12.27%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 07:35
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.94%EV -13.42%E -6.64%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-17 08:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 42.01%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.99%0.0%2026-05-17 06:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%1.7%2026-05-17 10:40