La scuola delle quote

Greuther Fürth v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Inizio: 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Finale: Greuther Fürth 3–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Greuther Fürth (Casa)

Previsione 42.86%2.33quota equa
EV -0.133%
Vantaggio -0.057%
Kelly -0.100%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.25%42.75%42.84%43.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.192.202.3349.50%45.67%45.45%42.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.71%3.15quota equa
EV -1.70%
Vantaggio -0.549%
Kelly -0.811%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.46%31.79%31.69%33.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.862.903.1038.02%35.00%34.48%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.43%3.93quota equa
EV -2.10%
Vantaggio -0.544%
Kelly -0.735%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.52%25.46%25.47%27.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.583.603.8532.26%27.94%27.78%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -0.133%E -0.057%K -0.100%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:25
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -0.133%E -0.057%K -0.100%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:25
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:25
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:25
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:25
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.37%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.10%E -0.544%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 07:39
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.39%EV -5.28%E -2.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -2.02%E -0.653%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 42.76%EV -5.28%E -2.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 07:40
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:39
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -2.10%E -0.544%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:35
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:35
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:38
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:21
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:35
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:40
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 07:40
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -15.97%E -6.03%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 07:25
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -15.97%E -6.03%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 07:25
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.80%EV -6.13%E -2.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.45%EV -5.51%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.75%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Suprabets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.18%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.91%EV -8.20%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:35
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:35
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:35
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.33%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.43%EV -16.61%E -6.31%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -14.81%E -4.42%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 07:25
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.98%EV -6.99%E -3.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -5.82%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:59
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.91%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:38
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:20
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:20
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.61%E -6.31%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -21.17%E -6.83%K -10.08%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-17 07:20
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -10.85%E -5.22%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.02%EV -7.69%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 07:34
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -12.13%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -14.39%E -5.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 07:35
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -12.13%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -12.27%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 07:35
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.94%EV -13.42%E -6.64%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-17 08:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 42.01%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.99%0.0%2026-05-17 06:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%1.7%2026-05-17 10:40