Школа коэффициентов

Greuther Fürth v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Начало: 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Итог: Greuther Fürth 3–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Greuther Fürth (Хозяева)

Прогноз 42.86%2.33справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.133%
Преимущество -0.057%
Kelly -0.100%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.33

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.25%42.75%42.84%43.66%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.022.192.202.3349.50%45.67%45.45%42.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Гости)

Прогноз 31.71%3.15справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.70%
Преимущество -0.549%
Kelly -0.811%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.46%31.79%31.69%33.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.632.862.903.1038.02%35.00%34.48%32.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.43%3.93справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.10%
Преимущество -0.544%
Kelly -0.735%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.85

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.52%25.46%25.47%27.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.583.603.8532.26%27.94%27.78%25.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -0.133%E -0.057%K -0.100%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:25
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -0.133%E -0.057%K -0.100%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:25
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -1.42%E -0.617%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:25
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:25
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.998%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:25
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.37%EV -3.56%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -2.10%E -0.544%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 07:39
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.39%EV -5.28%E -2.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.03%EV -2.02%E -0.653%K -0.966%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 42.76%EV -5.28%E -2.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.04%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 07:40
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:39
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -2.10%E -0.544%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:35
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:35
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:38
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:21
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.46%E -2.19%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:35
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:40
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 07:40
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -15.97%E -6.03%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 07:25
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -5.70%E -2.59%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -15.97%E -6.03%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 07:25
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.80%EV -6.13%E -2.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.45%EV -5.51%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.75%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.31%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -1.70%E -0.549%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Suprabets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.18%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.91%EV -8.20%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:35
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:35
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.67%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -7.41%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:35
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.33%EV -6.56%E -3.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.43%EV -16.61%E -6.31%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -14.81%E -4.42%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 07:25
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.98%EV -6.99%E -3.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -5.82%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.45%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -5.91%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:59
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.91%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.18%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.87%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 10:38
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:20
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:20
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.85%E -3.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.21%E -4.01%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -9.99%E -4.76%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.61%E -6.31%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -21.17%E -6.83%K -10.08%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-17 07:20
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -10.85%E -5.22%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -8.04%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.02%EV -7.69%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 07:34
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -12.13%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -14.39%E -5.33%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -9.72%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 07:35
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -12.13%E -5.92%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -12.27%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 07:35
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.94%EV -13.42%E -6.64%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -12.80%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-17 08:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 42.01%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.99%0.0%2026-05-17 06:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%1.7%2026-05-17 10:40