Школа коэффициентовodds.school
Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)
+ Новая модельВсе модели

Arminia Bielefeld v FC St. Pauli

2026-09-04 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Победитель встречи

52 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Arminia Bielefeld (Хозяева)

Прогноз 42.52%2.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.34%
Преимущество -1.93%
Kelly -3.47%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.33%42.75%42.29%45.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.132.122.2550.00%46.91%47.17%44.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

FC St. Pauli (Гости)

Прогноз 31.32%3.19справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.78%
Преимущество +0.547%
Kelly +0.790%
Рост +0.014%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.02%31.10%31.42%32.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.983.003.2537.04%33.57%33.33%30.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 26.17%3.82справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.564%
Преимущество -0.148%
Kelly -0.201%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.79%26.15%26.29%27.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.493.543.8030.30%28.64%28.25%26.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Arminia Bielefeld (Хозяева): 42.52%; FC St. Pauli (Гости): 31.32%; Ничья: 26.17%. Для исхода «FC St. Pauli (Гости)» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.19. 9 букмекеров предлагают коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший доступный коэффициент — 3.25, что даёт положительное математическое ожидание +1.78%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.13%EV -11.14%E -5.33%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV +1.78%E +0.547%K +0.790%G +0.014%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 11:00
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 11:00
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 11:00
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 11:00
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 10:59
Suprabets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.93%EV -13.27%E -6.50%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -1.35%E -0.430%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.97%EV -7.63%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 12:47
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.99%EV -9.44%E -4.43%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.84%EV -1.67%E -0.531%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.17%EV -6.32%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.22%EV -10.29%E -4.88%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -1.67%E -0.531%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.32%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 12:45
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.46%EV -13.27%E -6.50%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -2.92%E -0.942%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 11:00
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -14.12%E -6.99%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -14.12%E -6.99%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:00
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 13:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -0.564%E -0.148%K -0.201%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 12:45
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 13:05
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 13:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 13:04
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 13:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 13:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 13:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -14.97%E -7.48%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.34%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -14.97%E -7.48%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.34%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -14.97%E -7.48%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.34%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 11:00
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.87%E -0.499%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 12:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 13:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -5.19%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 12:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -14.97%E -7.48%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 12:53
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.18%E -0.860%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.18%E -0.860%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 12:54
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:45
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:45
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.18%E -0.860%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -7.31%E -3.36%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 12:55
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 13:00
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 13:00
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 12:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-31 12:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -12.84%E -6.26%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-31 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-31 12:45
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -15.45%E -5.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-31 12:55
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 43.82%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-08-31 13:10
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 41.47%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.41%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.12%17.1%2026-08-31 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74%170.3%2026-08-31 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74%170.3%2026-08-31 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 34.14%1.07I 93.46%NM 33.83%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.03%176.3%2026-08-31 11:05