Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.46
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Arminia Bielefeld (Casa): 39.50%; FC St. Pauli (Trasferta): 34.31%; Pareggio: 26.19%. Per FC St. Pauli (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.91. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.90, con un valore atteso del -0.492%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.40%EV -2.83%E -1.15%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.99%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.49%EV -3.22%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.43%EV -3.58%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.08%EV -2.85%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -3.22%E -1.32%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.52%EV -5.20%E -2.17%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.20%E -2.17%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 12:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.20%E -2.17%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -5.20%E -2.17%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -5.20%E -2.17%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -5.20%E -2.17%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.81%EV -5.59%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.47%EV -5.30%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.81%EV -5.59%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.47%EV -5.30%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -5.99%E -2.52%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -10.10%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -5.99%E -2.52%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -10.10%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 13:48 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -5.99%E -2.52%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.09%EV -6.38%E -2.69%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.70%E -2.86%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 10:06 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 10:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -6.67%E -2.45%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -6.25%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -6.67%E -2.45%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -6.25%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -9.15%E -3.98%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.80%E -0.480%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 04:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.15%E -3.98%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.15%E -3.98%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.15%E -3.98%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 10:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.15%E -3.98%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 09:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.15%E -3.98%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.15%E -3.98%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 09:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.15%E -3.98%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.15%E -3.98%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 09:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.15%E -3.98%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.10%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93%EV -9.15%E -3.98%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -12.50%E -4.90%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.94%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -0.492%E -0.170%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.94%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -0.492%E -0.170%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.94%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -0.492%E -0.170%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 08:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.94%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -0.492%E -0.170%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.94%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -0.492%E -0.170%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.94%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -0.492%E -0.170%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 08:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.94%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -0.492%E -0.170%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 08:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -9.94%E -4.36%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -0.492%E -0.170%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -11.12%E -4.94%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -11.12%E -4.94%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -9.76%E -3.71%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 08:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -11.12%E -4.94%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -9.76%E -3.71%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.12%E -4.94%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.10%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.12%E -4.94%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.10%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 08:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -11.12%E -4.94%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -9.76%E -3.71%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -13.10%E -5.95%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-04 08:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -13.10%E -5.95%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -13.10%E -5.95%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.38%EV -13.10%E -5.95%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.38%EV -13.53%E -5.37%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -14.68%E -6.80%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -14.68%E -6.80%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -14.68%E -6.80%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 08:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -15.07%E -7.01%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92% | 0.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.01% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.32% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.67% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |