Idioma:Español
Arminia Bielefeld v FC St. Pauli
Resultado del partido
Arminia Bielefeld (Local)
Predicción 42.52%2.35momio equitativo
EV -4.34%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -3.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%42.75%42.29%45.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.122.2550.00%46.91%47.17%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC St. Pauli (Visitante)
Predicción 31.32%3.19momio equitativo
EV +1.78%
Ventaja +0.547%
Kelly +0.790%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.02%31.10%31.42%32.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.2537.04%33.57%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.17%3.82momio equitativo
EV -0.564%
Ventaja -0.148%
Kelly -0.201%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.79%26.15%26.29%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.493.543.8030.30%28.64%28.25%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Arminia Bielefeld (Local): 42.52%; FC St. Pauli (Visitante): 31.32%; Empate: 26.17%. Para FC St. Pauli (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.19. 9 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.25, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.78%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.13%EV -11.14%E -5.33%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV +1.78%E +0.547%K +0.790%G +0.014% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 10:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.93%EV -13.27%E -6.50%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -1.35%E -0.430%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.97%EV -7.63%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 12:47 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.99%EV -9.44%E -4.43%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.84%EV -1.67%E -0.531%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.17%EV -6.32%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 12:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.22%EV -10.29%E -4.88%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -1.67%E -0.531%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.32%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 12:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.46%EV -13.27%E -6.50%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -2.92%E -0.942%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -14.12%E -6.99%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -14.12%E -6.99%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 13:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -0.564%E -0.148%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 12:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 13:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 13:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 13:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 13:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 13:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 13:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -14.97%E -7.48%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.34%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -14.97%E -7.48%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.34%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -14.97%E -7.48%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.34%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-31 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.87%E -0.499%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -5.19%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 12:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -14.97%E -7.48%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-31 12:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.18%E -0.860%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.18%E -0.860%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 12:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 12:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-31 12:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-31 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.18%E -0.860%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -7.31%E -3.36%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-31 13:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-31 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-31 12:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -12.84%E -6.26%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-31 12:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -15.45%E -5.72%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-31 12:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.82% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 41.47% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.41% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.12% | 17.1% | 2026-08-31 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74% | 170.3% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74% | 170.3% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.14% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 33.83% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 32.03% | 176.3% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |