النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Arminia Bielefeld v FC St. Pauli

2026-09-04 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Arminia Bielefeld (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.52%2.35السعر العادل
EV -4.34%
الأفضلية -1.93%
Kelly -3.47%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.33%42.75%42.29%45.13%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.132.122.2550.00%46.91%47.17%44.44%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

FC St. Pauli (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.32%3.19السعر العادل
EV +1.78%
الأفضلية +0.547%
Kelly +0.790%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.02%31.10%31.42%32.78%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.983.003.2537.04%33.57%33.33%30.77%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.17%3.82السعر العادل
EV -0.564%
الأفضلية -0.148%
Kelly -0.201%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.79%26.15%26.29%27.78%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.493.543.8030.30%28.64%28.25%26.32%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Arminia Bielefeld (المضيف)⁩: ⁨42.52%⁩؛ ⁨FC St. Pauli (الضيف)⁩: ⁨31.32%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨26.17%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨FC St. Pauli (الضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨3.19⁩. تعرض 9 شركات مراهنات أسعارًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وأفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨3.25⁩، ما ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+1.78%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.13%EV -11.14%E -5.33%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV +1.78%E +0.547%K +0.790%G +0.014%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 11:00
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 11:00
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 11:00
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 11:00
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +0.212%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 10:59
Suprabets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.93%EV -13.27%E -6.50%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -1.35%E -0.430%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.97%EV -7.63%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 12:47
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.99%EV -9.44%E -4.43%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.84%EV -1.67%E -0.531%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.17%EV -6.32%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.22%EV -10.29%E -4.88%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -1.67%E -0.531%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.32%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 12:45
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.46%EV -13.27%E -6.50%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -2.92%E -0.942%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 11:00
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -14.12%E -6.99%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.32%EV -14.12%E -6.99%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:00
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 13:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -0.564%E -0.148%K -0.201%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 12:45
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 13:05
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 13:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 13:04
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 13:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 13:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 13:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -14.97%E -7.48%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.34%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -14.97%E -7.48%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.34%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -14.97%E -7.48%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.34%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 11:00
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.87%E -0.499%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 12:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 13:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -5.19%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 12:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -14.97%E -7.48%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -7.62%E -2.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 12:53
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.18%E -0.860%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.18%E -0.860%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 12:54
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:45
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:45
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.18%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.18%E -0.860%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.70%EV -7.31%E -3.36%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 12:55
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-31 12:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.72%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 13:00
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 13:00
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 12:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-31 12:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -12.84%E -6.26%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -12.31%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-31 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.03%E -3.24%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-31 12:45
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -15.45%E -5.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.65%E -4.14%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-31 12:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 43.82%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-08-31 13:10
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 41.47%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.41%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.12%17.1%2026-08-31 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74%170.3%2026-08-31 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.74%170.3%2026-08-31 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 34.14%1.07I 93.46%NM 33.83%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.03%176.3%2026-08-31 11:05