Школа коэффициентов

Arminia Bielefeld v 1. FC Nürnberg

Начало: 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC

Итог: Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

49 букмекерских контор (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Arminia Bielefeld (Хозяева)

Прогноз 47.43%2.11справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.18%
Преимущество -2.07%
Kelly -4.10%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.02

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.80%47.52%47.38%49.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.881.951.952.0253.19%51.23%51.28%49.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

1. FC Nürnberg (Гости)

Прогноз 26.81%3.73справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.812%
Преимущество -0.220%
Kelly -0.301%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.27%26.74%26.85%27.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.413.403.7032.26%29.31%29.41%27.03%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.76%3.88справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.41%
Преимущество -0.909%
Kelly -1.24%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.95%25.74%25.77%27.60%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.09%27.78%26.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV -3.92%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 10:50
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 07:49
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 10:25
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 10:25
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 10:50
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:25
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 09:24
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:24
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.70%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.79%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.51%EV -7.79%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 10:50
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 09:19
Suprabets1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:21
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:30
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:30
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.55%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.55%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:25
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 10:25
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 09:25
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:50
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 07:49
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 07:49
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:50
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:49
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 07:49
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 09:25
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 09:24
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:29
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.85%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:29
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 09:18
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 09:19
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 09:19
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:25
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:25
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.00%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -16.90%E -5.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -20.15%E -6.50%K -9.60%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-18 10:00
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.87%E -5.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -0.812%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 10:49
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -10.35%E -5.48%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -0.812%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.20%EV -10.35%E -5.48%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -10.73%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.01%EV -11.65%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 10:49
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-18 10:30
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 10:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-04-18 10:50