La scuola delle quote

Arminia Bielefeld v 1. FC Nürnberg

Inizio: 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC

Finale: Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Arminia Bielefeld (Casa)

Previsione 47.43%2.11quota equa
EV -4.18%
Vantaggio -2.07%
Kelly -4.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.80%47.52%47.38%49.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.951.952.0253.19%51.23%51.28%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1. FC Nürnberg (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.81%3.73quota equa
EV -0.812%
Vantaggio -0.220%
Kelly -0.301%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.27%26.74%26.85%27.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.413.403.7032.26%29.31%29.41%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.76%3.88quota equa
EV -3.41%
Vantaggio -0.909%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.95%25.74%25.77%27.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.09%27.78%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV -3.92%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 10:50
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 07:49
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 10:25
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 10:25
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 10:50
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:25
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 09:24
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:24
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.70%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.79%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.51%EV -7.79%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 10:50
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 09:19
Suprabets1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:21
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:30
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:30
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.55%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.55%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:25
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 10:25
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 09:25
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:50
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 07:49
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 07:49
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:50
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:49
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 07:49
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 09:25
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 09:24
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:29
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.85%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:29
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 09:18
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 09:19
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 09:19
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:25
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:25
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.00%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -16.90%E -5.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -20.15%E -6.50%K -9.60%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-18 10:00
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.87%E -5.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -0.812%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 10:49
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -10.35%E -5.48%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -0.812%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.20%EV -10.35%E -5.48%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -10.73%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.01%EV -11.65%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 10:49
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-18 10:30
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 10:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-04-18 10:50