L’École des cotesFrançais
Arminia Bielefeld v 1. FC Nürnberg
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Arminia Bielefeld (Local)
Prévision 47.43%2.11cote équitable
EV -4.18%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -4.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.80%47.52%47.38%49.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.881.951.952.0253.19%51.23%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1. FC Nürnberg (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.81%3.73cote équitable
EV -0.812%
Avantage -0.220%
Kelly -0.301%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.27%26.74%26.85%27.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.413.403.7032.26%29.31%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.76%3.88cote équitable
EV -3.41%
Avantage -0.909%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.95%25.74%25.77%27.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.09%27.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV -3.92%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 07:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 09:24 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.70%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.79%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.51%EV -7.79%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| Suprabets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:21 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.55%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.55%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 07:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 07:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 07:49 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 09:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.85%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 09:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.00%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -16.90%E -5.45%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -20.15%E -6.50%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.87%E -5.20%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -0.812%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -10.35%E -5.48%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -0.812%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.20%EV -10.35%E -5.48%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -10.73%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.01%EV -11.65%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.90% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.06% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |