Szkoła KursówPolski
Arminia Bielefeld v 1. FC Nürnberg
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Arminia Bielefeld (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 47.43%2.11kurs godziwy
EV -4.18%
Przewaga -2.07%
Kelly -4.10%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.02
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.80%47.52%47.38%49.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.881.951.952.0253.19%51.23%51.28%49.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
1. FC Nürnberg (Goście)
Prognoza 26.81%3.73kurs godziwy
EV -0.812%
Przewaga -0.220%
Kelly -0.301%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.70
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.27%26.74%26.85%27.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.413.403.7032.26%29.31%29.41%27.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 25.76%3.88kurs godziwy
EV -3.41%
Przewaga -0.909%
Kelly -1.24%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.95%25.74%25.77%27.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.09%27.78%26.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV -3.92%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 07:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 09:24 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.70%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.79%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.51%EV -7.79%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| Suprabets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:21 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.55%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.55%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 07:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 07:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 07:49 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 09:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.85%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 09:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.00%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -16.90%E -5.45%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -20.15%E -6.50%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.87%E -5.20%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -0.812%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -10.35%E -5.48%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -0.812%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.20%EV -10.35%E -5.48%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -10.73%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.01%EV -11.65%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.90% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.06% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |