La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arminia Bielefeld v 1. FC Nürnberg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arminia Bielefeld (Local)
Predicción 47.43%2.11momio equitativo
EV -4.18%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -4.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.80%47.52%47.38%49.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.881.951.952.0253.19%51.23%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1. FC Nürnberg (Visitante)
Predicción 26.81%3.73momio equitativo
EV -0.812%
Ventaja -0.220%
Kelly -0.301%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.27%26.74%26.85%27.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.413.403.7032.26%29.31%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.76%3.88momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -0.909%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.95%25.74%25.77%27.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.09%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV -3.92%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 07:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 09:24 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.70%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.79%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.51%EV -7.79%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| Suprabets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 10:21 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.55%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.55%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 07:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 07:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 07:49 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 09:25 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 09:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.85%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 10:29 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 09:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.00%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -16.90%E -5.45%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -20.15%E -6.50%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.87%E -5.20%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -0.812%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -10.35%E -5.48%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -0.812%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.20%EV -10.35%E -5.48%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -10.73%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.01%EV -11.65%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-18 10:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-18 10:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.90% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.06% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 10:50 |