مدرسة الاحتمالات

Arminia Bielefeld v 1. FC Nürnberg

البداية: 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Arminia Bielefeld (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.43%2.11السعر العادل
EV -4.18%
الأفضلية -2.07%
Kelly -4.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.80%47.52%47.38%49.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.881.951.952.0253.19%51.23%51.28%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

1. FC Nürnberg (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.81%3.73السعر العادل
EV -0.812%
الأفضلية -0.220%
Kelly -0.301%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.27%26.74%26.85%27.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.413.403.7032.26%29.31%29.41%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.76%3.88السعر العادل
EV -3.41%
الأفضلية -0.909%
Kelly -1.24%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.95%25.74%25.77%27.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.563.603.7532.26%28.09%27.78%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -4.18%E -2.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.26%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.91%EV -3.92%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 10:50
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 07:49
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 10:25
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 10:25
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 10:50
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 09:25
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 09:24
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:24
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -5.13%E -2.57%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:25
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.70%EV -5.61%E -2.82%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.79%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.51%EV -7.79%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 10:50
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.41%E -0.909%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 09:19
Suprabets1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 10:21
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:30
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -6.08%E -3.07%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 10:30
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.55%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.55%E -3.33%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:25
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -7.03%E -3.59%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 10:25
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.49%E -0.970%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 09:25
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 10:50
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 10:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 07:49
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 07:49
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.56%E -2.41%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:50
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.17%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 10:49
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.27%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 07:49
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 09:25
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.85%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 09:24
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.38%EV -7.98%E -4.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:29
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.85%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -3.67%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -8.85%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 10:29
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 09:18
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 09:19
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.85%E -2.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 09:19
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:25
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.70%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:25
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.00%E -4.55%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -9.40%E -4.92%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -16.90%E -5.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -20.15%E -6.50%K -9.60%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-18 10:00
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.87%E -5.20%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -0.812%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 10:49
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -10.35%E -5.48%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -0.812%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.70%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 10:50
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.20%EV -10.35%E -5.48%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -10.73%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.01%EV -11.65%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 10:49
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -11.14%E -3.23%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-18 10:30
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -10.82%E -5.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.42%E -3.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 10:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-04-18 10:50
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-04-18 10:50