The School of Odds

SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen

2026-08-29 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

SC Freiburg (Local)

Prediction 46.10%2.17fair odd
EV -4.57%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.38%46.38%46.10%47.94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.901.951.942.0753%51%52%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Werder Bremen (Visit)

Prediction 27.24%3.67fair odd
EV -0.575%
Edge -0.158%
Kelly -0.217%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.48%26.97%27.24%27.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.553.653.6531%28%27%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.66%3.75fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.812%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.40%26.65%26.66%27.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.503.6430%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.82%EV -4.57%E -2.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -0.575%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.63%EV -2.96%E -0.812%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-24 09:35
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 06:05
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 11:29
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 06:05
Suprabets1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -9.64%E -4.92%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.86%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.40%EV -7.49%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 15:08
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -0.575%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:45
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 15:09
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.57%E -5.45%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.575%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 02:20
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.57%E -5.45%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.575%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.57%E -5.45%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.575%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.57%E -5.45%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.575%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.57%E -5.45%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.575%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.57%E -5.45%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.575%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.57%E -5.45%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.575%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.57%E -5.45%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.575%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.57%E -5.45%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.575%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.57%E -5.45%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.575%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:39
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.57%E -5.45%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.575%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.57%E -5.45%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.575%E -0.158%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 17:31
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -12.41%E -6.53%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -12.41%E -6.53%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-07 04:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.