The School of OddsSC Freiburg v Werder Bremen
Head to Head
Option 1: SC Freiburg (Local)
Odds
1.7457.47%Min
1.8753.45%Mean
1.8753.62%Median
1.9850.51%Max
Consensus probabilities
48.45%2.064Min
50.90%1.965Max
49.74%2.010Mean
49.72%2.011Median
49.69%2.012IQM
49.76%2.010Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.98 under the IQM model: 49.69%
EV -1.61%Edge -0.811%Kelly -1.64%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Werder Bremen (Visit)
Odds
3.4029.41%Min
3.8925.71%Mean
3.8026.32%Median
4.4022.73%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.40%4.672Min
25.74%3.885Max
24.09%4.150Mean
23.98%4.171Median
24.10%4.149IQM
23.96%4.173Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.40 under the IQM model: 24.10%
EV +6.04%Edge +1.37%Kelly +1.78%Growth +0.107%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.1531.75%Min
3.5328.33%Mean
3.5028.57%Median
3.8026.32%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.86%4.022Min
27.70%3.611Max
26.16%3.822Mean
26.30%3.802Median
26.21%3.816IQM
26.28%3.806Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.80 under the IQM model: 26.21%
EV -0.416%Edge -0.110%Kelly -0.149%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | SC Freiburg (Local) | Werder Bremen (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05% NM 50.90%EV -8.07% E -4.36% K -9.49% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.40%EV +6.04% E +1.37% K +1.78% G +0.107% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.70%EV -10.90% E -3.21% K -4.54% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05% NM 50.90%EV -8.07% E -4.36% K -9.49% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.40%EV +6.04% E +1.37% K +1.78% G +0.107% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.70%EV -10.90% E -3.21% K -4.54% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05% NM 50.73%EV -8.07% E -4.36% K -9.49% G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 21.67%EV +4.35% E +1.01% K +1.31% G +0.057% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.60%EV -10.90% E -3.21% K -4.54% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51% NM 49.76%EV -1.61% E -0.811% K -1.64% G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33% NM 23.97%EV -0.949% E -0.231% K -0.305% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 26.27%EV -1.73% E -0.460% K -0.628% G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-07-04 02:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.92I 52.08% NM 49.58%EV -4.59% E -2.39% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -1.19% E -0.290% K -0.384% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.20%EV -8.28% E -2.37% K -3.31% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-03 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.95I 51.28% NM 49.79%EV -3.10% E -1.59% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69% NM 23.97%EV -2.40% E -0.591% K -0.785% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 26.24%EV -3.04% E -0.821% K -1.12% G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 02:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63% NM 49.93%EV -5.58% E -2.94% K -6.20% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.72%EV -3.60% E -0.900% K -1.20% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.35%EV -5.66% E -1.57% K -2.18% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 12:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48% NM 49.57%EV -7.07% E -3.78% K -8.13% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.17%EV -3.60% E -0.900% K -1.20% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.26%EV -10.90% E -3.21% K -4.54% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-03 16:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05% NM 49.58%EV -8.07% E -4.36% K -9.49% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.83%EV -7.22% E -1.87% K -2.53% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.59%EV -9.59% E -2.78% K -3.91% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-05 12:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.92I 52.08% NM 49.74%EV -4.59% E -2.39% K -4.99% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 25.13%EV -8.42% E -2.22% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 25.13%EV -0.416% E -0.110% K -0.149% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-03 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76% NM 49.48%EV -7.57% E -4.07% K -8.80% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.22%EV -8.42% E -2.22% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.30%EV -8.28% E -2.37% K -3.31% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-03 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05% NM 49.24%EV -8.07% E -4.36% K -9.49% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.97%EV -8.42% E -2.22% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.79%EV -10.90% E -3.21% K -4.54% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-03 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82% NM 50.09%EV -12.54% E -7.12% K -16.50% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.20%EV -8.42% E -2.22% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 26.71%EV -13.52% E -4.10% K -5.88% G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-03 21:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36% NM 49.54%EV -5.08% E -2.66% K -5.59% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.23%EV -9.63% E -2.57% K -3.50% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.23%EV -1.73% E -0.460% K -0.628% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-03 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.78I 56.18% NM 49.30%EV -11.55% E -6.49% K -14.80% G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81% NM 23.53%EV -10.11% E -2.71% K -3.70% G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96% NM 27.17%EV -15.35% E -4.75% K -6.89% G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-03 17:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -3.10% E -1.59% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.66%EV -10.83% E -2.93% K -4.01% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.66%EV -3.04% E -0.821% K -1.12% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-03 14:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64% NM 50.27%EV -9.06% E -4.95% K -10.92% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.86%EV -10.83% E -2.93% K -4.01% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.86%EV -3.04% E -0.821% K -1.12% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-03 14:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.52%EV -5.08% E -2.66% K -5.59% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.74%EV -13.24% E -3.68% K -5.09% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.74%EV -5.66% E -1.57% K -2.18% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-03 11:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48% NM 49.05%EV -7.07% E -3.78% K -8.13% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.48%EV -13.24% E -3.68% K -5.09% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.48%EV -5.66% E -1.57% K -2.18% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-03 15:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56% NM 49.65%EV -10.55% E -5.86% K -13.19% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 24.82%EV -13.24% E -3.68% K -5.09% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 25.53%EV -8.28% E -2.37% K -3.31% G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47% NM 48.45%EV -13.53% E -7.78% K -18.29% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 24.79%EV -18.06% E -5.31% K -7.53% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 26.76%EV -17.45% E -5.54% K -8.12% G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-07-03 16:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | SC Freiburg (Local) | Werder Bremen (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.78I 56.18% | 3.60I 27.78% | 3.10I 32.26% | 16.2% | 2026-07-03 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76% | 1.32I 75.76% | 1.01I 99.01% | 150.5% | 2026-07-03 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.32I 75.76% | 1.32I 75.76% | 1.01I 99.01% | 150.5% | 2026-07-03 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.32I 75.76% | 1.32I 75.76% | 1.01I 99.01% | 150.5% | 2026-07-03 15:45 |
Arbitrage (7 combinations)+0.45%1xBet 1.98 (50.7%) / Ladbrokes (AU) 4.40 (22.8%) / SportsBet 3.80 (26.4%)Show all 7 combinations
| SC Freiburg (Local) | Werder Bremen (Visit) | Draw | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet 1.98 (50.7%) | Ladbrokes (AU) 4.40 (22.8%) | SportsBet 3.80 (26.4%) | +0.454% |
| 1xBet 1.98 (50.7%) | Neds 4.40 (22.8%) | SportsBet 3.80 (26.4%) | +0.454% |
| 1xBet 1.98 (50.6%) | Ladbrokes (AU) 4.40 (22.8%) | 1xBet 3.75 (26.7%) | +0.101% |
| 1xBet 1.98 (50.6%) | Ladbrokes (AU) 4.40 (22.8%) | betfred_uk 3.75 (26.7%) | +0.101% |
| 1xBet 1.98 (50.6%) | Neds 4.40 (22.8%) | 1xBet 3.75 (26.7%) | +0.101% |
| 1xBet 1.98 (50.6%) | Neds 4.40 (22.8%) | betfred_uk 3.75 (26.7%) | +0.101% |
| 1xBet 1.98 (50.5%) | Coral 4.33 (23.1%) | SportsBet 3.80 (26.3%) | +0.085% |