Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.10
avec la cote maximale 3.71
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SC Freiburg (Local) : 46.19% ; Werder Bremen (Visiteur) : 27.33% ; Match nul : 26.47%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.78. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.85, soit une espérance positive de +1.92%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.23%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV +1.92%E +0.499%K +0.674%G +0.013% | 3.0% | 2026-07-10 19:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -0.725%E -0.193%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 03:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 16:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-09 02:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.51%EV +1.40%E +0.378%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.65%EV -2.31%E -0.627%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-15 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.60%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -1.06%E -0.293%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.63%EV -3.64%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-28 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -6.22%E -3.07%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -2.15%E -0.601%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -6.22%E -3.07%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -2.15%E -0.601%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-20 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-14 15:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.61%E -0.446%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 20:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-10 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 19:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-10 19:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.64%EV -3.52%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.34%EV -5.49%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 15:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.02%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -6.02%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-13 10:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -6.02%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-13 10:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 01:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 17:07 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-07 04:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 02:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 04:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 04:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 04:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 04:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 04:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 04:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 04:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 04:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 04:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 10:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-16 17:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 10:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 10:33 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.54%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-10 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-11 15:09 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.42%EV -5.16%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 21:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 21:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.81%EV -8.53%E -4.31%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-11 15:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-06 11:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-07 04:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-07 04:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.48%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-14 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.72%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.26%EV -11.99%E -3.72%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -13.96%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-14 12:57 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.26%EV -15.46%E -8.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.87%EV -13.90%E -4.41%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.87%EV -16.61%E -5.27%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-07-16 19:20 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.34% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60% | 16.9% | 2026-07-16 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 39.64% | 147.3% | 2026-07-17 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 39.64% | 147.3% | 2026-07-17 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 39.64% | 147.3% | 2026-07-17 11:50 |