StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-29 13:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

SC Freiburg (Heim)

Prognose 46.19%2.16faire Quote
EV -2.99%
Vorteil -1.42%
Kelly -2.72%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.72%46.33%46.21%47.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.832.002.002.1054.64%50.09%50.00%47.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Werder Bremen (Auswärts)

Prognose 27.33%3.66faire Quote
EV +1.40%
Vorteil +0.378%
Kelly +0.517%
Wachstum +0.007%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.71

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.48%27.27%27.30%28.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.153.463.453.7131.75%28.89%28.99%26.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.47%3.78faire Quote
EV +1.92%
Vorteil +0.499%
Kelly +0.674%
Wachstum +0.013%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.22%26.40%26.49%28.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.153.523.503.8531.75%28.40%28.57%25.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: SC Freiburg (Heim): 46.19%; Werder Bremen (Auswärts): 27.33%; Unentschieden: 26.47%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.78. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.85 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.92%.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.23%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV +1.92%E +0.499%K +0.674%G +0.013%3.0%2026-07-10 19:54
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -0.725%E -0.193%K -0.264%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 03:15
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 19:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 16:53
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 02:35
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.51%EV +1.40%E +0.378%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.65%EV -2.31%E -0.627%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-15 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.60%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -1.06%E -0.293%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.63%EV -3.64%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -6.22%E -3.07%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -2.15%E -0.601%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -6.22%E -3.07%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -2.15%E -0.601%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 14:15
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-14 15:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.61%E -0.446%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 20:19
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 19:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 19:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 19:54
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.64%EV -3.52%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.34%EV -5.49%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 15:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.02%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 12:59
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -6.02%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 10:39
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -6.02%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 10:40
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 01:34
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 17:07
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:45
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 02:20
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:39
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 17:31
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 12:59
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 10:34
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 10:33
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.54%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 19:45
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 15:09
Suprabets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.42%EV -5.16%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 21:10
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 21:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.81%EV -8.53%E -4.31%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-14 12:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 15:10
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 11:29
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.48%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-14 12:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.72%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.26%EV -11.99%E -3.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -13.96%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-14 12:57
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.26%EV -15.46%E -8.45%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.87%EV -13.90%E -4.41%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.87%EV -16.61%E -5.27%K -7.73%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-16 19:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 44.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%16.9%2026-07-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.02I 98.04%NM 39.64%147.3%2026-07-17 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.02I 98.04%NM 39.64%147.3%2026-07-17 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.02I 98.04%NM 39.64%147.3%2026-07-17 11:50