Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen

Początek: 2026-08-29 13:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

SC Freiburg (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 46.19%2.16kurs godziwy
EV -2.99%
Przewaga -1.42%
Kelly -2.72%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.72%46.33%46.21%47.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.832.002.002.1054.64%50.09%50.00%47.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Werder Bremen (Goście)

Prognoza 27.33%3.66kurs godziwy
EV +1.40%
Przewaga +0.378%
Kelly +0.517%
Wzrost +0.007%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.71

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.48%27.27%27.30%28.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.153.463.453.7131.75%28.89%28.99%26.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.47%3.78kurs godziwy
EV +1.92%
Przewaga +0.499%
Kelly +0.674%
Wzrost +0.013%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.22%26.40%26.49%28.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.153.523.503.8531.75%28.40%28.57%25.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: SC Freiburg (Gospodarze): 46.19%; Werder Bremen (Goście): 27.33%; Remis: 26.47%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.78. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.85, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.92%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.23%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV +1.92%E +0.499%K +0.674%G +0.013%3.0%2026-07-10 19:54
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -0.725%E -0.193%K -0.264%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 03:15
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 19:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 16:53
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 02:35
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.51%EV +1.40%E +0.378%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.65%EV -2.31%E -0.627%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-15 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.60%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -1.06%E -0.293%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.63%EV -3.64%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -6.22%E -3.07%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -2.15%E -0.601%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -6.22%E -3.07%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -2.15%E -0.601%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 14:15
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-14 15:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.61%E -0.446%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 20:19
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 19:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 19:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 19:54
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.64%EV -3.52%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.34%EV -5.49%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 15:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.02%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 12:59
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -6.02%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 10:39
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -6.02%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 10:40
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 01:34
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 17:07
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:45
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 02:20
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:39
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 17:31
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 12:59
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 10:34
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 10:33
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.54%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 19:45
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 15:09
Suprabets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.42%EV -5.16%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 21:10
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 21:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.81%EV -8.53%E -4.31%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-14 12:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 15:10
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 11:29
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.48%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-14 12:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.72%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.26%EV -11.99%E -3.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -13.96%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-14 12:57
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.26%EV -15.46%E -8.45%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.87%EV -13.90%E -4.41%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.87%EV -16.61%E -5.27%K -7.73%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-16 19:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 44.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%16.9%2026-07-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.02I 98.04%NM 39.64%147.3%2026-07-17 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.02I 98.04%NM 39.64%147.3%2026-07-17 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.02I 98.04%NM 39.64%147.3%2026-07-17 11:50