Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen

Inizio: 2026-08-29 13:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

SC Freiburg (Casa)

Previsione 46.19%2.16quota equa
EV -2.99%
Vantaggio -1.42%
Kelly -2.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.72%46.33%46.21%47.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.832.002.002.1054.64%50.09%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Werder Bremen (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.33%3.66quota equa
EV +1.40%
Vantaggio +0.378%
Kelly +0.517%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.48%27.27%27.30%28.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.463.453.7131.75%28.89%28.99%26.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.47%3.78quota equa
EV +1.92%
Vantaggio +0.499%
Kelly +0.674%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.22%26.40%26.49%28.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.523.503.8531.75%28.40%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: SC Freiburg (Casa): 46.19%; Werder Bremen (Trasferta): 27.33%; Pareggio: 26.47%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.78. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.85, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.92%.

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.23%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV +1.92%E +0.499%K +0.674%G +0.013%3.0%2026-07-10 19:54
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -0.725%E -0.193%K -0.264%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-17 03:15
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 19:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 16:53
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.759%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-09 02:35
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.51%EV +1.40%E +0.378%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.65%EV -2.31%E -0.627%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-15 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.60%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.77%EV -1.06%E -0.293%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.63%EV -3.64%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -6.22%E -3.07%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -2.15%E -0.601%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -6.22%E -3.07%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -2.15%E -0.601%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 14:15
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -2.97%E -0.837%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-14 15:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.61%E -0.446%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 20:19
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 19:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 19:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.70%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 19:54
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.64%EV -3.52%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.34%EV -5.49%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 15:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -6.02%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 12:59
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -6.02%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 10:39
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -6.02%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 10:40
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 01:34
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 17:07
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:45
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 02:20
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:39
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -0.239%E -0.065%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 17:31
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 12:59
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 10:34
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 10:33
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.54%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-10 19:45
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.44%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 15:09
Suprabets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.42%EV -5.16%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 21:10
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 21:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.81%EV -8.53%E -4.31%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-14 12:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.07%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 15:10
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.17%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 11:29
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -5.71%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.48%EV -12.23%E -6.44%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-14 12:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.72%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.26%EV -11.99%E -3.72%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -13.96%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-14 12:57
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.26%EV -15.46%E -8.45%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.87%EV -13.90%E -4.41%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.87%EV -16.61%E -5.27%K -7.73%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-16 19:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 44.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%16.9%2026-07-16 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.02I 98.04%NM 39.64%147.3%2026-07-17 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.02I 98.04%NM 39.64%147.3%2026-07-17 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.34I 74.63%NM 30.18%1.02I 98.04%NM 39.64%147.3%2026-07-17 11:50