Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.05
assuming max odds 3.91
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Metz (Local): 46.80%; Guingamp (Visit): 25.73%; Draw: 27.47%. For Guingamp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.589%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.93%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.61%EV +0.589%E +0.151%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.46%EV -7.15%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -3.53%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.45%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.45%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 28.75%EV -13.19%E -4.17%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.36%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.70%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.28%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.50%EV -6.61%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.22%EV -9.89%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 18:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 20:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 17:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 17:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 18:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 17:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.10%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 1.8% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
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