Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.91
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Metz (Local): 46.80%; Guingamp (Visitante): 25.73%; Empate: 27.47%. Para Guingamp (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.89. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.91, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.589%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.93%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.61%EV +0.589%E +0.151%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.46%EV -7.15%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -3.53%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 16:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.45%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.45%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 28.75%EV -13.19%E -4.17%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.36%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.70%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.28%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.50%EV -6.61%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.22%EV -9.89%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 18:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 20:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 17:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 17:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 17:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 18:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 17:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.10%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 1.8% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |