StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Metz v Guingamp

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Metz 2–1 Guingamp

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Metz (Hemma)

Prognos 46.80%2.14rättvist odds
EV -4.05%
Fördel -1.98%
Kelly -3.86%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.18%46.74%46.88%47.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.911.982.002.0552.36%50.56%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Guingamp (Borta)

Prognos 25.73%3.89rättvist odds
EV +0.589%
Fördel +0.151%
Kelly +0.202%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.61%25.76%25.64%27.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.563.603.9130.30%28.12%27.78%25.58%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.47%3.64rättvist odds
EV -3.85%
Fördel -1.10%
Kelly -1.54%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.31%27.50%27.47%28.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.323.303.5031.75%30.16%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Metz (Hemma): 46.80%; Guingamp (Borta): 25.73%; Oavgjort: 27.47%. För Guingamp (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.89. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.91, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.589%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.93%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.61%EV +0.589%E +0.151%K +0.202%G +0.001%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.46%EV -7.15%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -3.53%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:10
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:29
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:35
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:29
Suprabets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.75%EV -13.19%E -4.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.36%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.70%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.28%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.50%EV -6.61%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.22%EV -9.89%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:09
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:29
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:34
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:00
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:04
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:05
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:09
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 20:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:34
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 16:09
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 17:28
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 17:29
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 17:29
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 17:24
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 17:24
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 17:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 17:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:50
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:38
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 17:25
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 17:24
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 18:29
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.10%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 18:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-08-08 18:40