默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Metz v Guingamp

开赛时间: 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Metz 2–1 Guingamp

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Metz (主队)

预测 46.80%2.14公平赔率
EV -4.05%
优势 -1.98%
Kelly -3.86%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
45.18%46.74%46.88%47.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.911.982.002.0552.36%50.56%50.00%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

Guingamp (客队)

预测 25.73%3.89公平赔率
EV +0.589%
优势 +0.151%
Kelly +0.202%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.91

博彩公司预测分布
24.61%25.76%25.64%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.563.603.9130.30%28.12%27.78%25.58%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.47%3.64公平赔率
EV -3.85%
优势 -1.10%
Kelly -1.54%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.31%27.50%27.47%28.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.323.303.5031.75%30.16%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Metz (主队):46.80%;Guingamp (客队):25.73%;平局:27.47%。 对于“Guingamp (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.89。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.91,对应+0.589%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.93%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.61%EV +0.589%E +0.151%K +0.202%G +0.001%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.46%EV -7.15%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -3.53%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:10
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:29
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:35
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:29
Suprabets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.75%EV -13.19%E -4.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.36%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.70%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.28%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.50%EV -6.61%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.22%EV -9.89%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:09
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:29
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:34
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:00
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:04
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:05
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:09
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 20:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:34
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 16:09
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 17:28
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 17:29
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 17:29
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 17:24
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 17:24
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 17:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 17:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:50
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:38
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 17:25
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 17:24
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 18:29
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.10%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 18:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-08-08 18:40