Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Metz v Guingamp

Początek: 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Metz 2–1 Guingamp

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Metz (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 46.80%2.14kurs godziwy
EV -4.05%
Przewaga -1.98%
Kelly -3.86%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.18%46.74%46.88%47.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.911.982.002.0552.36%50.56%50.00%48.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Guingamp (Goście)

Prognoza 25.73%3.89kurs godziwy
EV +0.589%
Przewaga +0.151%
Kelly +0.202%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.91

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.61%25.76%25.64%27.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.563.603.9130.30%28.12%27.78%25.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.47%3.64kurs godziwy
EV -3.85%
Przewaga -1.10%
Kelly -1.54%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.31%27.50%27.47%28.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.153.323.303.5031.75%30.16%30.30%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Metz (Gospodarze): 46.80%; Guingamp (Goście): 25.73%; Remis: 27.47%. Dla wyniku Guingamp (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.89. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.91, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.589%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.93%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.61%EV +0.589%E +0.151%K +0.202%G +0.001%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.46%EV -7.15%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -3.53%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:10
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:29
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:35
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.81%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.45%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:29
Suprabets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.10%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.75%EV -13.19%E -4.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.36%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.70%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.28%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.50%EV -6.61%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.22%EV -9.89%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:09
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:29
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:34
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:59
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:00
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:04
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:05
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 17:09
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 20:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:34
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 16:09
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.39%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 17:28
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.33%E -3.70%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 17:29
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 17:29
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 17:24
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 17:24
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.96%E -2.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.27%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 17:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 17:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -13.47%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:50
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:38
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 17:25
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 17:24
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.53%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 18:29
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -10.61%E -5.55%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.10%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 18:39
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-08-08 18:40