Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Metz v Guingamp

2026-08-08 18:45 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Testa a testa

23 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Metz (Casa)

Previsione 49.78%2.01quota equa
EV -6.41%
Vantaggio -3.41%
Kelly -7.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.95%49.79%49.69%50.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.821.831.8858.48%54.84%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Guingamp (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.75%4.21quota equa
EV -3.34%
Vantaggio -0.822%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.54%23.68%23.78%25.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.803.904.0729.41%26.28%25.64%24.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.47%3.78quota equa
EV -3.66%
Vantaggio -1.00%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.48%26.53%26.53%28.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.453.453.6431.25%29.00%28.99%27.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Metz (Casa): 49.78%; Guingamp (Trasferta): 23.75%; Pareggio: 26.47%. Per Guingamp (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.21. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 4.07, con un valore atteso del -3.34%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -6.41%E -3.41%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.21%EV -3.34%E -0.822%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.54%EV -5.77%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:05
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.41%E -3.41%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:39
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.41%E -3.41%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.76%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.90%E -3.69%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.01%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.72%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 20:19
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 19:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 19:15
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.90%E -4.27%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 19:14
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.70%EV -8.40%E -4.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 19:14
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.25%EV -8.40%E -4.56%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.13%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 19:24
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.90%E -4.86%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.76%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 16:04
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.90%E -4.86%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 20:25
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -8.90%E -4.86%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -9.76%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 19:13
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -8.90%E -4.86%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.01%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -15.30%E -4.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 22:59
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.34%EV -9.39%E -5.16%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 14:40
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -10.39%E -5.77%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.38%E -1.89%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 18:57
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -10.39%E -5.77%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.76%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 14:44
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -11.38%E -6.40%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -16.88%E -4.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-01 17:15
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.36%EV -12.38%E -7.03%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -12.13%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-01 14:40
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 48.95%EV -12.38%E -7.03%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -19.26%E -5.66%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-01 17:14
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.06%EV -12.88%E -7.36%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -16.88%E -4.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-01 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 49.80%EV -14.87%E -8.70%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.99%EV -15.69%E -4.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.20%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%17.4%2026-08-01 20:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 48.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.93%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%16.3%2026-08-01 15:10