Language:English
IF Gnistan v Jaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IF Gnistan (Local)
Prediction 41.74%2.40fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.89%41.91%41.84%43.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.212.212.3050.00%45.15%45.25%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jaro (Visit)
Prediction 30.72%3.26fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.691%
Kelly +0.988%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 3.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%30.56%30.66%31.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.962.923.3337.04%33.76%34.19%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.54%3.63fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.710%
Kelly -0.990%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.87%27.54%27.49%29.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.303.5434.72%30.24%30.30%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Gnistan (Local): 41.74%; Jaro (Visit): 30.72%; Draw: 27.54%. For Jaro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.68%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV +2.30%E +0.691%K +0.988%G +0.023% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.97%EV -11.51%E -5.43%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -0.463%E -0.143%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -5.82%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.68%EV -3.23%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.30%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.60%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.31%EV -4.15%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.10%EV -3.89%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:57 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -7.22%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.22%EV -5.54%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -16.52%E -8.26%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.83%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.83%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.70%EV -9.84%E -4.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -13.25%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -12.34%E -5.88%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.02%EV -17.05%E -6.32%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.09%EV -20.69%E -7.18%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.04% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.48% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |