La escuela de los momiosEspañol
IF Gnistan v Jaro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IF Gnistan (Local)
Predicción 41.74%2.40momio equitativo
EV -4.00%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -3.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.89%41.91%41.84%43.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.212.212.3050.00%45.15%45.25%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jaro (Visitante)
Predicción 30.72%3.26momio equitativo
EV +2.30%
Ventaja +0.691%
Kelly +0.988%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.77%30.56%30.66%31.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.962.923.3337.04%33.76%34.19%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.54%3.63momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.710%
Kelly -0.990%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.87%27.54%27.49%29.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.313.303.5434.72%30.24%30.30%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.68%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV +2.30%E +0.691%K +0.988%G +0.023% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.97%EV -11.51%E -5.43%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -0.463%E -0.143%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -5.82%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.68%EV -3.23%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.30%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| GTbets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.60%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.31%EV -4.15%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.10%EV -3.89%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:57 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -7.22%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.22%EV -5.54%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -16.52%E -8.26%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.83%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.83%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.70%EV -9.84%E -4.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -13.25%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -12.34%E -5.88%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.02%EV -17.05%E -6.32%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.09%EV -20.69%E -7.18%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.04% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.48% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |