Szkoła Kursów

IF Gnistan v Jaro

Początek: 2026-05-16 16:02 UTC

Wynik końcowy: IF Gnistan 5–0 Jaro

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

IF Gnistan (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 41.74%2.40kurs godziwy
EV -4.00%
Przewaga -1.74%
Kelly -3.07%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.89%41.91%41.84%43.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.212.212.3050.00%45.15%45.25%43.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jaro (Goście)

Prognoza 30.72%3.26kurs godziwy
EV +2.30%
Przewaga +0.691%
Kelly +0.988%
Wzrost +0.023%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.33

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.77%30.56%30.66%31.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.962.923.3337.04%33.76%34.19%30.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.54%3.63kurs godziwy
EV -2.52%
Przewaga -0.710%
Kelly -0.990%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.54

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.87%27.54%27.49%29.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.313.303.5434.72%30.24%30.30%28.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.68%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV +2.30%E +0.691%K +0.988%G +0.023%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 15:58
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.97%EV -11.51%E -5.43%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -0.463%E -0.143%K -0.207%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -5.82%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 15:59
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.68%EV -3.23%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.30%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 15:59
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.60%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.31%EV -4.15%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.10%EV -3.89%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 15:59
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 16:00
BetAnything2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 15:59
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:00
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 16:00
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 15:57
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:00
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 15:59
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 15:59
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -7.22%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.22%EV -5.54%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 15:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:00
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 15:59
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 16:00
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 15:59
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 15:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 15:59
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 16:00
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 15:59
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 15:59
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -16.52%E -8.26%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-16 15:58
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 15:59
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 16:00
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 15:58
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:59
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:00
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:00
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 15:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 15:59
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 16:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.83%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 16:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.83%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 16:00
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.70%EV -9.84%E -4.56%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -13.25%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 16:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -12.34%E -5.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.02%EV -17.05%E -6.32%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.09%EV -20.69%E -7.18%K -11.01%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-16 16:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%0.5%2026-05-16 16:00
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.04%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.48%2.5%2026-05-16 16:00