La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
IF Gnistan v Jaro
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
IF Gnistan (Casa)
Previsione 41.74%2.40quota equa
EV -4.00%
Vantaggio -1.74%
Kelly -3.07%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.89%41.91%41.84%43.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.212.212.3050.00%45.15%45.25%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jaro (Trasferta)
Previsione 30.72%3.26quota equa
EV +2.30%
Vantaggio +0.691%
Kelly +0.988%
Crescita +0.023%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.77%30.56%30.66%31.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.962.923.3337.04%33.76%34.19%30.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.54%3.63quota equa
EV -2.52%
Vantaggio -0.710%
Kelly -0.990%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.87%27.54%27.49%29.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.313.303.5434.72%30.24%30.30%28.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.68%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV +2.30%E +0.691%K +0.988%G +0.023% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.97%EV -11.51%E -5.43%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -0.463%E -0.143%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -5.82%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.68%EV -3.23%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.30%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| GTbets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.60%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.31%EV -4.15%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.10%EV -3.89%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:57 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -7.22%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.22%EV -5.54%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -16.52%E -8.26%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.83%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.83%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.70%EV -9.84%E -4.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -13.25%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -12.34%E -5.88%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.02%EV -17.05%E -6.32%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.09%EV -20.69%E -7.18%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.04% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.48% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |