مدرسة الاحتمالات

IF Gnistan v Jaro

البداية: 2026-05-16 16:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: IF Gnistan 5–0 Jaro

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

IF Gnistan (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.74%2.40السعر العادل
EV -4.00%
الأفضلية -1.74%
Kelly -3.07%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.89%41.91%41.84%43.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.212.212.3050.00%45.15%45.25%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jaro (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.72%3.26السعر العادل
EV +2.30%
الأفضلية +0.691%
Kelly +0.988%
النمو +0.023%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.77%30.56%30.66%31.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.962.923.3337.04%33.76%34.19%30.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.54%3.63السعر العادل
EV -2.52%
الأفضلية -0.710%
Kelly -0.990%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.87%27.54%27.49%29.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.313.303.5434.72%30.24%30.30%28.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.68%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV +2.30%E +0.691%K +0.988%G +0.023%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 15:58
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.97%EV -11.51%E -5.43%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -0.463%E -0.143%K -0.207%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -5.82%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 15:59
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.68%EV -3.23%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.30%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 15:59
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.60%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.31%EV -4.15%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.10%EV -3.89%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 15:59
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 16:00
BetAnything2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 15:59
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:00
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 16:00
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 15:57
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:00
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 15:59
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 15:59
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -7.22%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.22%EV -5.54%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 15:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:00
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 16:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 15:59
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 16:00
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 15:59
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 15:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 15:59
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 16:00
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 15:59
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 15:59
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -16.52%E -8.26%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-16 15:58
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 15:59
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 16:00
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 15:58
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:59
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:00
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:00
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 15:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 15:59
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 16:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.83%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 16:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.83%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 16:00
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.70%EV -9.84%E -4.56%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -13.25%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 16:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -12.34%E -5.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.02%EV -17.05%E -6.32%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.09%EV -20.69%E -7.18%K -11.01%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-16 16:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%0.5%2026-05-16 16:00
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.04%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.48%2.5%2026-05-16 16:00