L’École des cotesFrançais
IF Gnistan v Jaro
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
IF Gnistan (Local)
Prévision 41.74%2.40cote équitable
EV -4.00%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -3.07%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.89%41.91%41.84%43.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.212.212.3050.00%45.15%45.25%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jaro (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.72%3.26cote équitable
EV +2.30%
Avantage +0.691%
Kelly +0.988%
Croissance +0.023%
avec la cote maximale 3.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.77%30.56%30.66%31.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.962.923.3337.04%33.76%34.19%30.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.54%3.63cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -0.710%
Kelly -0.990%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.87%27.54%27.49%29.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.313.303.5434.72%30.24%30.30%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.68%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV +2.30%E +0.691%K +0.988%G +0.023% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.46%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.97%EV -11.51%E -5.43%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -0.463%E -0.143%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -5.82%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.02%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.68%EV -3.23%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.30%EV -2.52%E -0.710%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| GTbets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.60%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.31%EV -4.15%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.10%EV -3.89%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.56%EV -4.83%E -2.12%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:57 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.34%E -3.30%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -7.22%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.22%EV -5.54%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -16.52%E -8.26%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.12%E -2.76%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -6.92%E -3.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.83%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.83%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.70%EV -9.84%E -4.56%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -13.25%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -12.34%E -5.88%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.02%EV -17.05%E -6.32%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.09%EV -20.69%E -7.18%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.04% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.48% | 2.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |