赔率学院简体中文
Newcastle United v Manchester City
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Newcastle United (主队)
预测 35.37%2.83公平赔率
EV +5.40%
优势 +1.81%
Kelly +2.73%
增长率 +0.147%
假设最高赔率为 2.98
博彩公司预测分布
32.58%35.37%35.40%36.30%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.502.662.652.9840.00%37.53%37.74%33.56%MIN均值中位数MAX
Manchester City (客队)
预测 38.65%2.59公平赔率
EV +1.26%
优势 +0.481%
Kelly +0.777%
增长率 +0.010%
假设最高赔率为 2.62
博彩公司预测分布
36.94%38.74%38.53%41.67%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.202.412.402.6245.45%41.49%41.67%38.17%MIN均值中位数MAX
平局
预测 25.98%3.85公平赔率
EV +3.93%
优势 +0.983%
Kelly +1.31%
增长率 +0.052%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.69%25.89%26.07%27.40%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.103.593.604.0032.26%27.86%27.78%25.00%MIN均值中位数MAX
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV +5.40%E +1.81%K +2.73%G +0.147% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.67%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.75%EV -2.04%E -0.542%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -0.969%E -0.346%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -0.969%E -0.346%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.56%EV -1.68%E -0.603%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.74%E -0.996%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.74%E -0.996%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV +3.93%E +0.983%K +1.31%G +0.052% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV -5.57%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.94%EV +1.26%E +0.481%K +0.777%G +0.010% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.89%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Everygame | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.45%E -0.567%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:32 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| BetUS | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:53 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -5.70%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.03%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Fliff | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.81%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.58%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.04%E -5.80%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -11.58%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -14.97%E -6.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -19.45%E -6.27%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.49% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |