Oddsskolan

Newcastle United v Manchester City

Matchstart: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Newcastle United (Hemma)

Prognos 35.37%2.83rättvist odds
EV +5.40%
Fördel +1.81%
Kelly +2.73%
Tillväxt +0.147%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.98

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.58%35.37%35.40%36.30%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.502.662.652.9840.00%37.53%37.74%33.56%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Manchester City (Borta)

Prognos 38.65%2.59rättvist odds
EV +1.26%
Fördel +0.481%
Kelly +0.777%
Tillväxt +0.010%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.62

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.94%38.74%38.53%41.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.202.412.402.6245.45%41.49%41.67%38.17%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.98%3.85rättvist odds
EV +3.93%
Fördel +0.983%
Kelly +1.31%
Tillväxt +0.052%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.69%25.89%26.07%27.40%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.103.593.604.0032.26%27.86%27.78%25.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV +5.40%E +1.81%K +2.73%G +0.147%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.67%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.75%EV -2.04%E -0.542%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:55
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -0.969%E -0.346%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 19:45
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -0.969%E -0.346%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 19:45
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.56%EV -1.68%E -0.603%K -0.942%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:49
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.74%E -0.996%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:49
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.74%E -0.996%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:50
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:45
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:44
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:44
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV +3.93%E +0.983%K +1.31%G +0.052%5.5%2026-03-07 19:49
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:54
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 19:54
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:44
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:45
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:44
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:49
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV -5.57%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.94%EV +1.26%E +0.481%K +0.777%G +0.010%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 19:44
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.89%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:44
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.45%E -0.567%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 19:32
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:49
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 19:49
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:49
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:44
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:49
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:53
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 19:55
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:54
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:54
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:55
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:54
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:55
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:55
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:55
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -5.70%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:50
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 19:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 19:50
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.03%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:55
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.81%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 19:54
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.58%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.04%E -5.80%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -11.58%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -14.97%E -6.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -19.45%E -6.27%K -9.26%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-07 19:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-03-07 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-03-07 19:55
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.49%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-03-07 19:54
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-03-07 19:55
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-03-07 19:50