L’École des cotesFrançais
Newcastle United v Manchester City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Newcastle United (Local)
Prévision 35.37%2.83cote équitable
EV +5.40%
Avantage +1.81%
Kelly +2.73%
Croissance +0.147%
avec la cote maximale 2.98
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.58%35.37%35.40%36.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.662.652.9840.00%37.53%37.74%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Manchester City (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.65%2.59cote équitable
EV +1.26%
Avantage +0.481%
Kelly +0.777%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 2.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.94%38.74%38.53%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.412.402.6245.45%41.49%41.67%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.98%3.85cote équitable
EV +3.93%
Avantage +0.983%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.052%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.69%25.89%26.07%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.593.604.0032.26%27.86%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV +5.40%E +1.81%K +2.73%G +0.147% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.67%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.75%EV -2.04%E -0.542%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -0.969%E -0.346%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -0.969%E -0.346%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.56%EV -1.68%E -0.603%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.74%E -0.996%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.74%E -0.996%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV +3.93%E +0.983%K +1.31%G +0.052% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV -5.57%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.94%EV +1.26%E +0.481%K +0.777%G +0.010% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.89%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Everygame | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.45%E -0.567%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:32 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| BetUS | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:53 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -5.70%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.03%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Fliff | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.81%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.58%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.04%E -5.80%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -11.58%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -14.97%E -6.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -19.45%E -6.27%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.49% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |