Die Schule der Quoten

Newcastle United v Manchester City

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Newcastle United (Heim)

Prognose 35.37%2.83faire Quote
EV +5.40%
Vorteil +1.81%
Kelly +2.73%
Wachstum +0.147%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.98

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.58%35.37%35.40%36.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.502.662.652.9840.00%37.53%37.74%33.56%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Manchester City (Auswärts)

Prognose 38.65%2.59faire Quote
EV +1.26%
Vorteil +0.481%
Kelly +0.777%
Wachstum +0.010%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.62

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.94%38.74%38.53%41.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.202.412.402.6245.45%41.49%41.67%38.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.98%3.85faire Quote
EV +3.93%
Vorteil +0.983%
Kelly +1.31%
Wachstum +0.052%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.69%25.89%26.07%27.40%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.593.604.0032.26%27.86%27.78%25.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV +5.40%E +1.81%K +2.73%G +0.147%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.67%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.75%EV -2.04%E -0.542%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:55
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -0.969%E -0.346%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 19:45
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -0.969%E -0.346%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 19:45
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.56%EV -1.68%E -0.603%K -0.942%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:49
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.74%E -0.996%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:49
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.74%E -0.996%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:50
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:45
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:44
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:44
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV +3.93%E +0.983%K +1.31%G +0.052%5.5%2026-03-07 19:49
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:54
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 19:54
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:44
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:45
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:44
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:49
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV -5.57%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.94%EV +1.26%E +0.481%K +0.777%G +0.010%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 19:44
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.89%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:44
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.45%E -0.567%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 19:32
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:49
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 19:49
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:49
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:44
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:49
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:53
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 19:55
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:54
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:54
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:55
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:54
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:55
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:55
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:55
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -5.70%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:50
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 19:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 19:50
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.03%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:55
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.81%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 19:54
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.58%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.04%E -5.80%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -11.58%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -14.97%E -6.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -19.45%E -6.27%K -9.26%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-07 19:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-03-07 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-03-07 19:55
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.49%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-03-07 19:54
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-03-07 19:55
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-03-07 19:50