Школа коэффициентов

Newcastle United v Manchester City

Начало: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (15 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Newcastle United (Хозяева)

Прогноз 35.37%2.83справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.40%
Преимущество +1.81%
Kelly +2.73%
Рост +0.147%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.98

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.58%35.37%35.40%36.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.502.662.652.9840.00%37.53%37.74%33.56%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Manchester City (Гости)

Прогноз 38.65%2.59справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.26%
Преимущество +0.481%
Kelly +0.777%
Рост +0.010%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.62

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.94%38.74%38.53%41.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.412.402.6245.45%41.49%41.67%38.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.98%3.85справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.93%
Преимущество +0.983%
Kelly +1.31%
Рост +0.052%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.69%25.89%26.07%27.40%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.593.604.0032.26%27.86%27.78%25.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV +5.40%E +1.81%K +2.73%G +0.147%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.67%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.75%EV -2.04%E -0.542%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:55
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -0.969%E -0.346%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 19:45
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -0.969%E -0.346%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-07 19:45
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.56%EV -1.68%E -0.603%K -0.942%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:49
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.74%E -0.996%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:49
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.74%E -0.996%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:50
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:45
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:44
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:44
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV +3.93%E +0.983%K +1.31%G +0.052%5.5%2026-03-07 19:49
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:54
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 19:54
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:44
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:45
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:44
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:49
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV -5.57%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.94%EV +1.26%E +0.481%K +0.777%G +0.010%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 19:44
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.89%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:44
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.45%E -0.567%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 19:32
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:49
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 19:49
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:49
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:44
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:49
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:53
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 19:55
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:54
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:54
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:55
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 19:54
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:55
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:55
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:55
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -5.70%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:50
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 19:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 19:50
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.03%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 19:55
Fliff2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.81%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 19:54
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.58%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.04%E -5.80%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 19:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -11.58%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -14.97%E -6.81%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -19.45%E -6.27%K -9.26%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-07 19:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-03-07 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-03-07 19:55
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.49%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-03-07 19:54
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-03-07 19:55
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-03-07 19:50