مدرسة الاحتمالاتNewcastle United v Manchester City
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Newcastle United (المضيف)
التنبؤ 35.37%2.83السعر العادل
EV +5.40%
الأفضلية +1.81%
Kelly +2.73%
النمو +0.147%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.98
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.58%35.37%35.40%36.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.662.652.9840.00%37.53%37.74%33.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Manchester City (الضيف)
التنبؤ 38.65%2.59السعر العادل
EV +1.26%
الأفضلية +0.481%
Kelly +0.777%
النمو +0.010%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.62
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.94%38.74%38.53%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.412.402.6245.45%41.49%41.67%38.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 25.98%3.85السعر العادل
EV +3.93%
الأفضلية +0.983%
Kelly +1.31%
النمو +0.052%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.69%25.89%26.07%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.593.604.0032.26%27.86%27.78%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV +5.40%E +1.81%K +2.73%G +0.147% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.67%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.75%EV -2.04%E -0.542%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -0.969%E -0.346%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -0.969%E -0.346%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.56%EV -1.68%E -0.603%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.74%E -0.996%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.74%E -0.996%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV +3.93%E +0.983%K +1.31%G +0.052% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV -5.57%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.94%EV +1.26%E +0.481%K +0.777%G +0.010% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.89%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Everygame | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.45%E -0.567%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:32 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| BetUS | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:53 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -5.70%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.03%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Fliff | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.81%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.58%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.04%E -5.80%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -11.58%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -14.97%E -6.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -19.45%E -6.27%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.49% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |