La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Newcastle United v Manchester City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Newcastle United (Local)
Predicción 35.37%2.83momio equitativo
EV +5.40%
Ventaja +1.81%
Kelly +2.73%
Crecimiento +0.147%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.58%35.37%35.40%36.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.662.652.9840.00%37.53%37.74%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Manchester City (Visitante)
Predicción 38.65%2.59momio equitativo
EV +1.26%
Ventaja +0.481%
Kelly +0.777%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.94%38.74%38.53%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.412.402.6245.45%41.49%41.67%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.98%3.85momio equitativo
EV +3.93%
Ventaja +0.983%
Kelly +1.31%
Crecimiento +0.052%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.69%25.89%26.07%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.593.604.0032.26%27.86%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV +5.40%E +1.81%K +2.73%G +0.147% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.67%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.75%EV -2.04%E -0.542%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -0.969%E -0.346%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -0.969%E -0.346%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.56%EV -1.68%E -0.603%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.74%E -0.996%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.74%E -0.996%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Betsson | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.80%E -1.40%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.15%E -1.67%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV +3.93%E +0.983%K +1.31%G +0.052% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -6.08%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:45 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.51%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.25%EV -5.57%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.94%EV +1.26%E +0.481%K +0.777%G +0.010% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.89%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Everygame | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.45%E -0.567%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:32 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| BetUS | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -6.27%E -2.37%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -6.98%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:53 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -7.34%E -2.80%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.56%E -0.683%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -5.70%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.46%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -8.04%E -3.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.03%EV -9.95%E -4.27%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Fliff | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.81%E -3.85%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.18%E -3.90%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.58%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.04%E -5.80%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-07 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -11.58%E -4.63%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -14.97%E -6.81%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -19.45%E -6.27%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.49% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 19:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 19:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 19:50 |