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Mansfield Town v Arsenal
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Mansfield Town (Хозяева)
Прогноз 6.12%16.34справедливый коэффициент
EV +40.75%
Преимущество +1.77%
Kelly +1.85%
Рост +0.755%
при максимальном коэффициенте 23.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
4.23%6.11%6.18%8.61%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
11.0016.7316.0023.009.09%5.98%6.25%4.35%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Arsenal (Гости)
Прогноз 83.02%1.20справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.03%
Преимущество -1.72%
Kelly -11.29%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.18
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
80.05%82.99%82.94%86.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.071.121.131.1893.46%88.99%88.50%84.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 10.86%9.21справедливый коэффициент
EV +19.43%
Преимущество +1.77%
Kelly +1.94%
Рост +0.377%
при максимальном коэффициенте 11.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
8.52%10.90%10.89%13.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.509.079.0011.0015.38%11.02%11.11%9.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Mansfield Town (Хозяева): 6.12%; Arsenal (Гости): 83.02%; Ничья: 10.86%. Для исхода «Mansfield Town (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 16.34. 22 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 23.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +40.75%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.45%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +14.00%E +1.33%K +1.47%G +0.206% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 11:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.23%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.23%EV +40.75%E +1.77%K +1.85%G +0.755% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 2.8% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.48%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.60%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -10.33%E -9.57%K -129.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV +28.51%E +1.36%K +1.43%G +0.406% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.37%EV -10.33%E -9.57%K -129.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +16.27%E +0.856%K +0.904%G +0.147% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.97%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.93%EV +5.86%E +0.601%K +0.669%G +0.039% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.14%EV +13.21%E +0.714%K +0.755%G +0.100% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.80%EV -4.46%E -0.507%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.14%EV +13.21%E +0.714%K +0.755%G +0.100% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.07%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.80%EV -4.46%E -0.507%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.26%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.12%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV +19.43%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.377% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 08:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -11.16%E -10.43%K -159.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV +10.15%E +0.564%K +0.597%G +0.061% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -11.16%E -10.43%K -159.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -7.84%E -7.07%K -71.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 10:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.01%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.45%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 11:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.44%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.83%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.73%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV +4.03%E +0.237%K +0.252%G +0.010% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -7.01%E -6.26%K -58.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -29.43%E -4.53%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 11:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.01%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.62%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.09%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV -2.09%E -0.131%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.42%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 11:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.44%EV -10.97%E -1.34%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +19.43%E +1.77%K +1.94%G +0.377% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 11:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 11:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.35%E -4.70%K -38.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.88%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +14.00%E +1.33%K +1.47%G +0.206% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -13.14%E -1.64%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -8.67%E -7.89%K -86.74%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -2.29%E -0.254%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%EV -8.21%E -0.547%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.05%EV -6.18%E -5.47%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -29.43%E -4.53%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-07 11:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -14.33%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.26%EV -9.50%E -8.72%K -105.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 13.55I 7.38%NM 6.76%EV -17.08%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.58%EV -7.84%E -7.07%K -71.31%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV -6.63%E -0.771%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.42%EV -20.45%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.43%EV -2.86%E -2.45%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.15%EV +3.14%E +0.331%K +0.370%G +0.012% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -20.45%E -1.57%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -4.52%E -3.93%K -30.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -18.57%E -2.48%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 11:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV -26.57%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.09%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.94%EV -5.00%E -0.571%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -26.57%E -2.21%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.83%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.34%EV -29.02%E -2.50%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.99%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +8.57%E +0.857%K +0.952%G +0.082% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -32.69%E -2.97%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.25%EV -2.03%E -1.72%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -7.71%E -0.908%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 23.98I 4.17%NM 4.21% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 87.72% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 8.07% | -0.9% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.52% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.44% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.92% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 11:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |